Prediction for match Chapecoense — Atletico Goianiense, 23.11.2025

Match Analysis: Chapecoense vs Atletico Goianiense

The Brazilian Serie B continues with a clash between Chapecoense and Atletico Goianiense on November 23, 2025. According to the odds, Chapecoense is the favorite: their victory is offered at 1.33, a draw at 4.40, and success for Atletico Goianiense is valued at 10.70. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: 70.10% for a Chapecoense win, 21.19% for a draw, and 8.71% for an Atletico Goianiense win. There is a clear advantage for the home team, which is also confirmed by recent game statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chapecoense has averaged 55.2% ball possession, 5.6 corners, 1 yellow card, 13.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Atletico Goianiense lags in these metrics: 49.4% possession, 3.2 corners, 2.8 yellows, 13.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Chapecoense drew 1-1 with Volta Redonda (15.11), lost to America Mineiro 0-1 (10.11), and drew 1-1 with Remo (2.11). During the same period, Atletico Goianiense had a 0-0 draw with Operario (15.11), lost 0-1 to Criciuma (9.11), and won 2-1 against Paysandu (31.10). In their head-to-head on July 27, the teams drew 0-0, which also fits the low-scoring nature of their recent games.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The scoring rate for both teams in their last five matches is low. Chapecoense has only seen over 2.5 goals once, while Atletico Goianiense has seen it twice. By halves: both teams had over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5 games in the second half, and only once in the first half. Average stats: Chapecoense - 2.2 goals per match, Atletico Goianiense - 1.6. Both teams concede an average of 0.8. Regarding goal intervals, Chapecoense most often scores between the 31st and 45th minute (40%), Atletico Goianiense between the 76th and 90th minute (67%). In terms of conceding, Chapecoense is most vulnerable at the end (76-90, 50%), while Atletico Goianiense is at the end of the first half (31-45, 100%). Overall, the statistics suggest a limited number of goals, making a bet on under 2.5 goals logical.

Corners in the Match

In their last five matches, Chapecoense averages 5.6 corners, Atletico Goianiense 3.2. For total corners over 9.5: both teams have had 2 out of 5 matches. The line for this match is total corners over 8.5 at 1.51, under 10.5 at 1.50. Chapecoense is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.27. Based on the average corner activity, the most optimal bet seems to be on total corners over 8.5 or a Chapecoense advantage in this metric.