Prediction for match Chapecoense — Atletico Mineiro

Match Preview

In the Brazilian Serie A on April 2, Chapecoense will face Atletico Mineiro. The odds for Atletico Mineiro to win are 2.51, for Chapecoense to succeed - 2.87, and a draw is priced at 3.39. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 33.44% for Chapecoense to win, 28.31% for a draw, and 38.24% for Atletico Mineiro. Based on the odds and percentages, Atletico Mineiro is perceived as the more likely winner, but the gap between the teams is small, indicating a potentially tough battle. The line also offers options for totals, both teams to score, and individual performances, allowing for different betting approaches for this match.

Team Statistics and Scores

Looking at the last five games, Chapecoense has an average ball possession of 42.2%, 2.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1 offside. Atletico Mineiro shows 42.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In Chapecoense's last three matches: March 22 - Internacional vs Chapecoense 2-0, March 20 - Chapecoense vs Corinthians 0-0, March 16 - Chapecoense vs Gremio 1-1. For Atletico Mineiro: March 21 - Fluminense vs Atletico Mineiro 1-0, March 18 - Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo 1-0, March 14 - Vitoria vs Atletico Mineiro 2-0. The last head-to-head meeting was on October 7, 2021, and ended in a 2-2 draw. There have also been draws and narrow victories for both sides in their history, confirming the lack of clear dominance by either team.

How Many Goals in Chapecoense vs Atletico Mineiro

In the last five matches, both teams tend towards low-scoring games: Chapecoense had only 1 out of 5 matches with a total over 2.5, and Atletico Mineiro similarly had 1 out of 5 over 2.5. The average goals per match for Chapecoense is 2.4, and for Atletico Mineiro is 1.6. Chapecoense scores an average of 0.8, while Atletico Mineiro scores 0.6 per game, indicating issues with attacking efficiency for both teams. By halves, Chapecoense had 2 out of 5 matches with a total over 1.5 in the first half, and Atletico Mineiro had none. In the second half, Chapecoense had 2 out of 5 over 1.5, and Atletico Mineiro had 1 out of 5. For goal intervals: Chapecoense most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (38%), Atletico Mineiro between 61-75 minutes (43%). In terms of goals conceded: Chapecoense is most vulnerable at the end of the first and start of the second half (31-45 and 46-60 minutes - 50% each), Atletico Mineiro in the 46-60 minute interval (100%). All this points to low scoring, confirmed by frequent under 2.5 totals. The odds for under 2.5 total goals are 1.72, and this bet seems most logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

On average, Chapecoense earns 5.2 corners per game, Atletico Mineiro - 4.2. In the last five matches, Chapecoense had 3 out of 5 games with corner totals over 9.5, Atletico Mineiro 2 out of 5. The line offers a bet on the corner total of 9.5: over 9.5 is priced at 1.67, under 9.5 at 2.05. The favorite for corner outcomes is Atletico Mineiro with odds of 2.02. Considering the average sum of corners for both teams (9.4), a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, but fluctuations are possible given the not very high goal scoring. Overall, the match might have a moderate number of corners, and a bet on over 9.5 corners looks interesting for additional consideration.