Prediction for match Chapecoense — Corinthians

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Brazil's Serie A, Chapecoense will face Corinthians on 20.03.2026. The main 1X2 odds are as follows: Corinthians win is at 2.22, a draw is at 3.22, and a Chapecoense victory is at 3.55. According to probabilities, Corinthians have a 43.20% chance of winning, a draw is rated at 29.78%, and Chapecoense at 27.02%. Corinthians are considered the favorites by the odds, but the difference between the teams is not too large, which could add tension to the match. Bookmakers' expectations reflect a cautious approach to predicting a win for either side.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chapecoense have an average possession of 38%, receive 1.6 yellow cards, commit 10.6 fouls, and are caught offside 0.8 times per game. Corinthians appear more disciplined in these aspects: 62.2% possession, 1.6 cautions, 9.8 fouls, and 1 offside. In their last three games, Chapecoense drew 1-1 with Grêmio (16.03.2026), lost 0-2 to São Paulo (12.03.2026), and drew 3-3 with Coritiba (11.02.2026). During the same period, Corinthians drew 1-1 with Santos (15.03.2026), lost 0-2 to Coritiba (12.03.2026), and were defeated 0-1 by Novorizontino (28.02.2026). The last head-to-head meeting between the teams was on November 2, 2021: Corinthians - Chapecoense 1-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Chapecoense have shown scoring potential: the average total goals in their matches is 3.6, with the team scoring and conceding 1.8 per game. Corinthians, on the other hand, tend to play low-scoring games: an average total of 1.8, scoring 0.6 and conceding 1.2. For over 2.5 goals, Chapecoense have 2 out of 5 matches over, while Corinthians have 0 out of 5 over, with all 5 under. In the first half, Chapecoense recorded over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, Corinthians in 2 out of 5. In the second half, Chapecoense were more prolific: 4 out of 5 over 1.5, while Corinthians had all 5 under. In terms of goal intervals, Chapecoense most frequently score between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), and concede between 31-45 minutes (43%). Corinthians most frequently score between 16-30 minutes (40%) and concede late, between 76-90 minutes (40%). Considering Corinthians' low scoring and under-profile on totals, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.67 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On average, Chapecoense earn 3.4 corners per match, while Corinthians earn 3.8. In the last 5 games, the total over 9.5 corners was recorded 4 times for Chapecoense and 2 times for Corinthians. Among the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (7.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 is at 1.41, under 8.5 is at 2.68. In terms of corners, Corinthians are favored with odds of 2.02. Overall, both teams do not stand out for high activity in corner kicks, and a bet on a moderate total of corners seems logical. It's also worth noting that Chapecoense more often hits the over 9.5 total for corners than Corinthians.