Prediction for match Chapecoense — Coritiba, 11.02.2026

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, Chapecoense faces Coritiba on February 11, 2026. The odds for the match outcome are as follows: a win for Chapecoense is at 2.47, a draw at 3.00, and a win for Coritiba at 3.29. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Chapecoense - 38.85%, draw - 31.99%, Coritiba - 29.17%. Chapecoense is considered the most likely to succeed, but the difference in chances between the teams is not significant, which is reflected in the odds. This indicates that bookmakers do not see a clear favorite, and the match could be quite competitive.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chapecoense has an average possession of 45%, makes 1.6 offsides, receives 1.6 yellow cards, and commits 10.8 fouls per game. Coritiba shows 40.4% possession, 1.2 offsides, 2 yellow cards, and 13 fouls. Chapecoense's last three matches: 05.02.2026 - Vasco da Gama - Chapecoense 1-1, 28.01.2026 - Chapecoense - Santos 4-2, 23.11.2025 - Chapecoense - Atlético Goianiense 1-0. Coritiba played as follows: 06.02.2026 - Cruzeiro - Coritiba 1-2, 28.01.2026 - Coritiba - RB Bragantino 0-1, 23.11.2025 - Amazonas - Coritiba 1-2. In their last head-to-head on 09.08.2025, Coritiba and Chapecoense drew 0-0.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Chapecoense averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded over 5 matches, while Coritiba averages 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. Total goals per match: 2.4 for Chapecoense and 2 for Coritiba. In their five-game series, Chapecoense had over 2.5 total goals once and under four times, while Coritiba had over three times and under twice. By halves, Chapecoense had over 1.5 goals in the first half once and three times in the second. Coritiba had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times and none in the second. Goal intervals show Chapecoense scoring most often between 46-60 and 76-90 minutes (29% each), and conceding late (76-90, 40%). Coritiba is most productive from 16 to 75 minutes (33% in each of the three intervals) and concedes most often from 31 to 45 minutes (57%). Considering Chapecoense's low scoring average, Coritiba's cautious defense, and frequent unders, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.50 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Chapecoense averages 5.2 corners per game, Coritiba - 3.2. In their five-match series, Chapecoense had over 9.5 corners four times, Coritiba twice. For the corner totals market, the line closest to the average sum (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners - 1.46, under 8.5 - 2.50. For the 9.5 line, over 9.5 corners is at 2.00, under 9.5 - 1.80. Both teams show a tendency for high corner matches, especially Chapecoense, with 4 out of 5 games over 9.5. It's reasonable to expect at least 8-9 corners in this match, and a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified.