Prediction for match Chapecoense — Vitoria

Match Analysis: Chapecoense vs Vitoria

In Brazil's Serie A on April 5th, Chapecoense will face Vitoria. The odds for a Chapecoense win are 2.55, for Vitoria 2.95, and a draw is priced at 3.22. Based on the latest data, Chapecoense has a 37.65% chance of winning, Vitoria 32.54%, and the probability of a draw is 29.81%. This indicates that the bookmakers see no clear favorite, with both teams having nearly equal chances of success, and a draw being quite possible. This is reflected in the odds, which are nearly even for both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chapecoense had an average possession of 41.2%, received 2.2 yellow cards, committed 14.8 fouls, and was caught offside 1.2 times per game. Vitoria, over the same period, had an average possession of 41.4%, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 16.8 fouls, and was offside 1.6 times per match. In their last three games, Chapecoense lost to Atletico Mineiro 0-4 (02.04.2026), lost to Internacional 0-2 (22.03.2026), and drew 0-0 with Corinthians (20.03.2026). Vitoria, in their last three games, lost to Cruzeiro 0-3 (01.04.2026), beat Mirassol 1-0 (22.03.2026), and lost to Gremio 0-2 (19.03.2026). In their head-to-head on November 25, 2023, Chapecoense won 3-1.

Goals Statistics

Both teams have shown low scoring in their last 5 games: Chapecoense's matches averaged 2 goals, while Vitoria's also averaged 2. Chapecoense scored an average of 0.2 goals per game, and Vitoria 0.8. In terms of goals conceded: Chapecoense 1.8, Vitoria 1.2. Both teams had only 1 match out of the last 5 where the total was over 2.5 goals, compared to 4 under. In the first half, the total over 1.5 was recorded 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half for Chapecoense - once, and for Vitoria - not at all. As for goal intervals: Chapecoense most frequently scored between 46-60 minutes (60%), while Vitoria scored most often between 31-45 minutes (40%). Chapecoense most frequently conceded between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (40% each), and Vitoria between 31-45 minutes (100%). Overall, both teams show low attacking potential and a tendency towards under on totals. Against this backdrop, betting on under 2.5 goals at 1.72 seems most logical: both teams rarely score, and the under 2.5 hit 4 out of 5 times for each.

Corner Totals Analysis

Chapecoense averaged 5.4 corners per match, while Vitoria averaged 4.4. In the last five matches, both teams saw the total corners exceed 9.5 in 3 out of 5 games. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is priced at 2.00, under 9.5 at 1.80. Considering the average sum of corners for both teams (9.8) and the frequency of this total being exceeded, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified. It's also worth noting that both teams regularly earn corners, as confirmed by their average figures in recent matches.