Prediction for match Charleroi — Genk, 19.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On Friday, December 19, 2025, Charleroi will face Genk in the Jupiler Pro League. The odds for Genk to win are 2.56, for Charleroi's victory - 2.88, and a draw is priced at 3.24. In terms of probabilities: Charleroi has a 33.18% chance, a draw is 29.49%, and Genk has a 37.33% chance. This reflects a slight edge for Genk, but there's no clear favorite, promising a competitive match. Among the totals, under 2.5 goals at odds of 1.80 stands out as an interesting option.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Charleroi has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses. Their last three games were: December 14, 2025 - Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise - 1-1, December 7, 2025 - Mechelen vs Charleroi - 1-0, November 29, 2025 - Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière - 0-0. Genk, in the same period, has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last three games were: December 14, 2025 - Genk vs Westerlo - 1-1, December 11, 2025 - Midtjylland vs Genk - 1-0, December 7, 2025 - Royal Antwerp vs Genk - 3-0. The last head-to-head match was on September 17, 2025 - Genk vs Charleroi - 0-1. Additional stats: Charleroi averaged 46.4% possession, 9.4 fouls, 2.8 offsides, and 1.2 yellow cards over five matches. Genk averaged 60.6% possession, 12.8 fouls, 1.6 offsides, and also 1.2 yellow cards per game.

Goals Total Statistics

The teams differ noticeably in terms of scoring. Over the last five matches, Charleroi averaged a total of 1.2 goals per game, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.6. Genk's figures are higher: 2.4 goals per game, scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. For over 2.5 goals: Charleroi had none (0 out of 5), while Genk had 3 out of 5. In the first half, Charleroi had 0 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Genk had 2 out of 5. In the second half: Charleroi had 0 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Genk had 1 out of 5. In goal intervals: Charleroi most frequently scores in each of the five 15-minute segments, at 20%, and concedes exclusively in the 31-45 minute interval (100%). Genk most often scores in the 0-15 minute interval (33%), and concedes evenly across three intervals - 0-15, 46-60, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Charleroi shows a clear tendency for low-scoring games: 5 out of 5 matches under 2.5, with no games over 1.5 in any half. Genk has higher attacking potential but lacks consistency - only 1 out of their last 5 matches ended with two or more goals scored by Genk. Combined, these data suggest the under 2.5 goals option, especially considering Charleroi's low scoring and Genk's attacking instability.

Corner Totals Analysis

In their last five matches, Charleroi averaged 6.2 corners, while Genk averaged 7.2. For over 9.5 corners: both teams recorded 4 out of 5 matches over. The line closest to the average total (13.4) is over 10.5 corners: over 10.5 is priced at 2.35, under 10.5 at 1.53. Genk is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.90. The logical choice seems to be over 10.5 corners, considering the high averages for both teams and frequent overs in recent matches.