Prediction for match Charleroi — Gent

Match Analysis: Charleroi vs. Gent

In the Jupiler Pro League on 14.02.2026, Charleroi faces Gent. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Charleroi is at 2.17, a draw at 3.42, and a win for Gent at 3.40. According to the bookmakers' probabilities, Charleroi has a 44.00% chance of success, Gent has 28.08%, and a draw is estimated at 27.92%. Thus, Charleroi has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams isn't significant. The options for total goals are also quite intriguing: the over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.95, making it appealing for a bet given the current team profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Charleroi has won twice: 2-0 against Standard Liège and 2-0 against Royal Antwerp, but lost 3-4 to Cercle Brugge. During the same period, Gent drew 1-1 with RAAL La Louvière, defeated Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3-1, and thrashed Standard Liège 4-0. Looking at the average figures over five matches, Charleroi maintains 50.2% possession, records 2.8 yellow cards, commits 14.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Gent is slightly better in ball control with 51.4%, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 13.4 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In their last head-to-head on 03.10.2025, Gent came out on top 2-1. In their last five encounters, there was also a 1-1 draw, a 3-0 win for Charleroi, a narrow 1-0 victory for Charleroi, and a big 5-0 win for Gent.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The goal statistics point to high scoring potential for both teams. Over the last five games, Charleroi has an average of 3.2 goals per match, while Gent averages 3.6. In terms of goals scored: Charleroi averages 2.2, Gent 2.4, with both teams conceding no more than 1.2 goals per game. For over 2.5 goals: Charleroi has 2 out of 5, Gent has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Charleroi has 3 out of 5 games with two or more goals, Gent has 4 out of 5. In the second half, Charleroi has 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Gent has 4 out of 5. As for goal intervals: Charleroi most often scores between the 16th and 30th minute (50%), while Gent scores between the 76th and 90th minute (50%). For goals conceded, Charleroi's most vulnerable period is 0-15 minutes (40%), while Gent has an even spread of 20% in four intervals, including the start and end. This dynamic suggests both teams can maintain pace throughout the match, with their attacking lines regularly creating chances. The average goal stats and the over totals support a bet on over 2.5 goals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Charleroi and Gent both average 5.6 corners per game over their last five matches. For over 9.5 corners: both teams had 4 out of 5 games exceeding this mark. Among the available corner totals, the closest to the average sum (11.2) is the 10.5 line: over 10.5 corners is priced at 2.10, under 10.5 at 1.64. Charleroi is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.71. Considering the high average corner stats and the frequency of exceeding 9.5, it makes sense to consider over 10.5 corners as an interesting option for an additional bet.