Prediction for match Charleroi — OH Leuven

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League on March 14, Charleroi will face OH Leuven. According to the 1X2 odds, Charleroi is favored with odds of 1.88, a draw is priced at 3.68, and an OH Leuven victory is at 4.08. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 50.72% for a Charleroi win, 25.91% for a draw, and 23.37% for an OH Leuven win. These figures indicate an advantage for Charleroi, although the difference isn't overwhelming, adding intrigue to the upcoming match. Both teams have shown an attacking mindset in recent games, which could influence the final result.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Charleroi averaged 57.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. OH Leuven, over the same period, had 43.4% possession, 2.8 yellows, 11.8 fouls, and 3.8 offsides per game. Charleroi's last three matches were: March 7 - Dender vs Charleroi - 2-2, March 1 - Charleroi vs Club Brugge - 1-2, February 22 - Westerlo vs Charleroi - 2-1. OH Leuven's last three matches were: March 7 - OH Leuven vs Westerlo - 0-1, February 28 - Anderlecht vs OH Leuven - 5-1, February 21 - Club Brugge vs OH Leuven - 2-1. Their last head-to-head on July 27, 2025, ended 2-2, indicating a competitive rivalry.

Goal Statistics

In their last five matches, Charleroi had over 2.5 goals 5 times, while OH Leuven had it 4 times. Charleroi averages 4.4 goals per match, OH Leuven 3.8. Goals scored: Charleroi - 1.8, OH Leuven - 1.6, and goals conceded: 2.6 and 2.2 respectively. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred 3 times out of 5 for both teams, and in the second half 4 times out of 5. Charleroi often scores between the 31-45 and 76-90 minute marks (30% each), while OH Leuven scores most frequently between 46-60 minutes (36%). Charleroi's most vulnerable period is 61-75 minutes (31%), OH Leuven's is 0-15 minutes (33%). Overall, both teams are prone to high-scoring games, supported by frequent over 2.5 goals and second-half activity. Therefore, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.90 seems logical, considering both teams' attacking profiles and recent trends.

Corners Analysis

Charleroi averages 7.8 corners per game, OH Leuven 7. In the last five matches, Charleroi had over 9.5 corners 2 times, OH Leuven 5 times out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to their combined averages (14.8) is 9.5, but it's not available for this match. For individual totals: Charleroi over 5.5 corners is at 1.73, under 5.5 is at 2.00; OH Leuven over 3.5 is at 1.62, under 3.5 is at 2.20. It's reasonable to expect a high number of corners, especially given both teams' high averages and OH Leuven's frequent over 9.5 totals. Consider bets on individual corner totals for both teams, as well as an overall high corner total if a suitable line becomes available.