Prediction for match Charleroi — Union Saint-Gilloise, 14.12.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

The Jupiler Pro League continues to entertain with intriguing matchups, and the encounter between Charleroi and Union Saint-Gilloise on December 14, 2025, promises to be eventful. According to the 1X2 odds, Union Saint-Gilloise is the favorite with odds of 1.88 for their victory, while a draw is priced at 3.53, and a win for Charleroi is at 4.30. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 50.77% for a Union Saint-Gilloise win, 27.04% for a draw, and 22.20% for a Charleroi win. This reflects Union Saint-Gilloise's advantage based on current form and results.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Charleroi has recorded one win, one draw, and one loss: they lost 0-1 to Mechelen on December 7, drew 0-0 with RAAL La Louvière on November 29, and lost 0-1 to Brugge on November 22. During the same period, Union Saint-Gilloise faced the following: a 2-3 loss to Marseille on December 9, a 1-1 draw with Gent on December 6, and a 0-1 loss to Anderlecht on November 30. In their head-to-head meeting on October 18, 2025, Union Saint-Gilloise was stronger, winning 3-1. In secondary statistics, Charleroi averages 49.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 10.6 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game over a five-match series. Union Saint-Gilloise averages 50.6% possession, 2.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 3.6 offsides. These figures indicate a tight midfield battle and a high number of duels.

Total Goals Statistics

The goal-scoring performance of both teams in the last five matches has not been highly productive. Charleroi averages 1.6 goals per match, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 2.2. Charleroi scores 0.6, and Union Saint-Gilloise 1.2 goals per game. In the five-match series, only one match for each team ended with a total of over 2.5 goals, while four ended with fewer goals. Similarly, in terms of halves, only one out of five games for each team saw more than 1.5 goals in either half, with the other four resulting in low scores. Regarding goal intervals, Charleroi most frequently scores between 46-60 minutes (43%), while Union Saint-Gilloise tends to score early (0-15 minutes - 33%) and late (76-90 minutes - 33%). Charleroi concedes most often between 31-45 minutes (100%), while Union Saint-Gilloise concedes in two intervals: 0-15 minutes and 46-60 minutes (40% each). Considering the low scoring, frequent unders on totals, and the lack of a strong over-profile by halves, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.85 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Charleroi consistently earns 6.4 corners per match, while Union Saint-Gilloise averages 4.8. In the last five games, Charleroi saw a total of over 9.5 corners four times, while Union Saint-Gilloise only once. The closest total to the average is 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 corners at 1.84 and under 9.5 at 1.84. In terms of corners outcome, Union Saint-Gilloise is favored at 1.54. Given Charleroi's frequent over 9.5 totals and high delivery activity, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical, but the option for under should not be overlooked considering Union Saint-Gilloise's cautious approach in recent matches.