Prediction for match Charlton Athletic — Derby County, 20.01.2026

Odds and match outcome probabilities

In the English Championship on January 20, Charlton Athletic will face Derby County. The odds for Derby County to win are 2.67, while Charlton Athletic's victory is priced at 2.77, and a draw is at 2.97. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Charlton Athletic - 33.67%, draw - 31.40%, Derby County - 34.93%. The match appears to be very close with no clear favorite. Both teams have shown inconsistent results in recent matches, which is reflected in the betting lines.

Team results and statistics

In their last five matches, Charlton Athletic has an average possession of 43.2%, commits 13.4 fouls, receives 2.8 yellow cards, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Derby County is slightly more disciplined with 44.4% possession, 12 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1 offside. Recent matches for Charlton Athletic: January 17, 2026 - Charlton Athletic vs Sheffield United 1-0, January 10, 2026 - Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea 1-5, January 4, 2026 - Blackburn Rovers vs Charlton Athletic 2-2. Derby County's last three matches: January 17, 2026 - Preston North End vs Derby County 0-1, January 11, 2026 - Derby County vs Leeds 1-3, January 4, 2026 - Derby County vs Wrexham 1-2. Their head-to-head on September 30, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw.

How many goals to expect?

In the last 5 games, Charlton Athletic's matches average 3.2 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 2. Derby County's matches have an average of 2.4 goals: scoring 1 and conceding 1.4. Both teams have hit over 2.5 total goals in 3 of their last 5 games. In the first half, Charlton Athletic has exceeded 1.5 total goals only once in 5 matches, while Derby County has done so in 3 out of 5. In the second half, Charlton Athletic has exceeded 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, while Derby County has only done so in 1 out of 5. Charlton Athletic most frequently scores between the 46th-60th, 61st-75th, and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), and concedes most often in the final minutes (76th-90th, 33%). Derby County is most productive between the 31st-45th minutes (60%) and concedes most often from the 46th to the 60th minute (38%). Considering both teams' average scoring, over 2.5 total goals, and goal distribution by halves, a bet on over 2.0 total goals at 1.77 seems the most logical for this match.

Analysis of corner totals

Charlton Athletic averages 7.4 corners in their last 5 matches, while Derby County averages 7. In a series of five games, Charlton Athletic has exceeded 9.5 total corners 3 times, and Derby County 4 out of 5. The corner total market closest to the average sum is 14.5, but among the available options, only 9.5 is offered, where both teams have a high frequency of exceeding. Therefore, it's logical to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, given the average values and frequency of exceeding. Additionally, Charlton Athletic and Derby County regularly earn a lot of corners, as confirmed by recent match statistics.