Prediction for match Chelsea — Ajax, 22.10.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

On October 22, Chelsea will face Ajax in the UEFA Champions League. According to the 1X2 odds, Chelsea is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.25 with a probability of 76.33%. A draw is valued at 7.00 (13.63%), and an Ajax win is at 9.50 with a 10.04% chance. Thus, bookmakers see Chelsea as the clear favorite for the upcoming match. The match date is 2025-10-22.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chelsea has averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1 conceded, with a total average of 2.8 goals per game. Ajax has a slightly higher total average of 3.8 per game, but they concede 2.4 on average while scoring 1.4. Recent results include Chelsea defeating Nottingham Forest 3-0 (2025-10-18) and Liverpool 2-1 (2025-10-04), while Ajax drew 3-3 with Sparta Rotterdam (2025-10-04) and lost 0-4 to Marseille (2025-09-30). In head-to-head matches, the teams last met in 2019: 4-4 and 1-0 in favor of Chelsea.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Chelsea - Ajax Match

In their last five matches, both teams have been scoring well: over 2.5 goals occurred 4 out of 5 times for both Chelsea and Ajax. The average goals per game are also high: 2.8 for Chelsea and 3.8 for Ajax. In the first half, Chelsea hasn't hit over 1.5 goals, whereas Ajax has done so 5 out of 5 times. In the second half, Chelsea has been more prolific - 4 out of 5 times over 1.5, compared to Ajax's 2 out of 5. Time intervals show Chelsea often scores between 16-30 minutes (40%), while Ajax scores either early on (0-15 minutes - 36%) or just after halftime (46-60 minutes - 36%). Chelsea most frequently concedes late in the second half, with 44% in the 46-60 and 76-90 minute intervals, while Ajax's most common concession is between 31-45 minutes (38%).

Corners in the Match

In the last five matches, Chelsea has averaged 3.8 corners, and Ajax 4.6. For a total over 9.5 corners, Chelsea had only 1 occurrence out of 5, while Ajax had 2 out of 5. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 2.00, under 9.5 is at 1.80. Chelsea is more likely to win the corner count with odds of 1.25.