Prediction for match Chelsea — Brentford, 17.01.2026

Chelsea vs Brentford Match Analysis

On January 17, 2026, Chelsea will face Brentford in the Premier League. The odds for the 1X2 outcome are Chelsea to win at 1.76, a draw at 4.12, and Brentford to win at 4.93. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Chelsea - 56.05%, draw - 23.94%, Brentford - 20.01%. Chelsea is the favorite according to the odds and probability percentages. Bookmakers are favoring Chelsea, but Brentford is capable of causing an upset.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chelsea has an average possession of 57.2%, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 8.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Brentford, in their last five games, shows 55.2% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 8.4 fouls, and is caught offside 2.6 times. Chelsea's last three matches: 14.01.2026 - Chelsea vs Arsenal - 2-3, 10.01.2026 - Charlton Athletic vs Chelsea - 1-5, 07.01.2026 - Fulham vs Chelsea - 2-1. Brentford's last three: 10.01.2026 - Sheffield Wednesday vs Brentford - 0-2, 07.01.2026 - Brentford vs Sunderland - 3-0, 04.01.2026 - Everton vs Brentford - 2-4. In their last head-to-head on 13.09.2025, Brentford and Chelsea drew 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Chelsea has an average of 4 goals per game, while Brentford has 3.2. Chelsea scores 2.2 and concedes 1.8, whereas Brentford scores 2.6 and concedes 0.6. Over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5 for Chelsea and 3 out of 5 for Brentford. Over 1.5 goals in the second half happened 3 out of 5 times for both teams. Over 1.5 goals in the first half occurred only once for each team. Chelsea most frequently scores between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%), while Brentford scores most between the 61st and 75th minutes (33%). Chelsea concedes most between the 61st and 75th and 76th and 90th minutes (25% each), while Brentford concedes most between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%). The goal profiles of both teams suggest high scoring, especially in the second half. Considering the over 2.5 goals trend for both sides and their average scoring, betting on over 2.5 goals at 1.71 seems logical.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Chelsea averages 7.4 corners over the last 5 matches, while Brentford averages 4.6. Over 9.5 corners occurred in 4 out of 5 for Chelsea and 2 out of 5 for Brentford. The total closest to the average sum (12) is the 10.5 line: over 10.5 corners at 1.96, under 10.5 at 1.75. Chelsea is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.31. Considering both teams' attacking styles and Chelsea's consistent corner stats, betting on over 10.5 corners seems reasonable. Chelsea consistently delivers a high number of corners, and Brentford can keep up the pace, especially in high-scoring matches.