Prediction for match Chelsea — Everton

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Premier League on December 13, Chelsea will face Everton. Bookmakers rate Chelsea's chances of winning with odds of 1.72, which corresponds to a probability of 57.30%. A draw is given odds of 4.07 (24.21%), while Everton's success is at 5.33 (18.49%). Besides the outcome, attention is drawn to the total goals odds: over 2.5 goals is set at 1.95, and under 2.5 at 1.99. It's also worth noting that both teams to score is at 1.83, while the opposite is at 1.89. This suggests that bookmakers expect a moderately high-scoring match, with Chelsea having the upper hand.

Recent Match Performance

Looking at recent results, Chelsea has secured 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five matches. In their last three games, they lost to Atalanta 1-2, drew with Bournemouth 0-0, and were defeated by Leeds 1-3. Everton, over the same period, has achieved 4 wins and 1 loss: in their last three matches, they defeated Nottingham Forest 3-0, beat Bournemouth 1-0, and lost to Newcastle 1-4. In their head-to-head meeting on April 26, 2025, Chelsea was stronger, winning 1-0. It's also worth noting that Chelsea averages 55.2% possession over five games, while Everton averages 43.2%. Chelsea has 1.2 yellow cards per game, and Everton has 1.8. The teams commit 14 and 11 fouls respectively, and for offsides, Chelsea has 2 and Everton 2.4.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a series of five matches, both teams have an average total of 2.4 goals. Chelsea scores and concedes 1.2, while Everton scores 1.6 and concedes only 0.8. Chelsea has surpassed the over 2.5 goals mark in 3 out of 5 games, while Everton has done so in 2 out of 5. In the first half, Chelsea hit over 1.5 goals once, and Everton twice, but in the second half, Chelsea was more productive: 4 out of 5 for over 1.5, compared to Everton's 1 out of 5. Chelsea most frequently scores and concedes between 46-60 minutes (33% and 67% respectively), while Everton scores most often in two intervals - 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Everton concedes 33% of their goals between 16-30 minutes. These stats indicate that both teams can create chances, but Chelsea is more active in the second half, while Everton boasts a more reliable defense. The average goal stats and frequency of over 2.5 goals don't guarantee a clear over, but Everton's attacking potential and Chelsea's consistently productive second halves support a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.95.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

On corners, Chelsea averages 2.8 per game over five matches, while Everton averages 5.6. In the last five matches, Chelsea hasn't surpassed the over 9.5 corners total, while Everton has done so in 3 out of 5 games. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the average sum (2.8 + 5.6 = 8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 is given at 1.38, and under at 2.71. In the outcome for corners, Chelsea is the favorite with odds of 1.27. Given that Everton consistently earns many corners and Chelsea fewer, it makes sense to consider a bet on Everton's individual corner total or the overall total over 8.5. However, the overall total over 9.5 has only been achieved by Everton in 3 out of 5 matches, and not once by Chelsea.