Prediction for match Chelsea — Leeds, 10.02.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on February 10, Chelsea will face Leeds. The odds for a Chelsea win are 1.62, a draw is at 4.47, and a Leeds victory is valued at 5.79. In terms of probabilities: Chelsea 60.89%, draw 22.07%, Leeds 17.04%. Chelsea has a clear advantage in both odds and percentages, reflecting the current form and results of the teams. Additionally, for the "Both Teams to Score" market, "yes" is at 1.69, "no" at 2.07, and the over 2.5 goals total is offered at 1.71.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Chelsea: February 7, Wolverhampton - Chelsea 1-3, February 3, Arsenal - Chelsea 1-0, January 31, Chelsea - West Ham 3-2. Leeds in the same period: February 6, Leeds - Nottingham Forest 3-1, January 31, Leeds - Arsenal 0-4, January 26, Everton - Leeds 1-1. On average over the last five games, Chelsea holds possession for 61% of the time, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 11.4 fouls, and is caught offside 0.8 times per match. Leeds holds possession 52% of the time, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 9.2 fouls, and is caught offside 2.4 times. In their last head-to-head on December 3, 2025, Leeds defeated Chelsea 3-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Chelsea - Leeds Match

In the five-match series, Chelsea's over 2.5 goals occurred 4 out of 5 times, Leeds' 3 out of 5. Chelsea's average goals scored and conceded are 2.4 and 1.4 respectively, while Leeds' are 1.6 and 1.4. The overall average total goals per match: Chelsea 3.8 and Leeds 3. In the first half, over 1.5 goals were recorded 3 out of 5 times for both teams, with the same frequency in the second half. Goal intervals: Chelsea most often scores between 76-90 minutes (38%), while Leeds scores in the 16-30 and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Chelsea concedes most frequently between 31-45 minutes (36%), Leeds in the final minutes (76-90, 30%). These figures confirm a high probability of a goal-rich match, and the selected over 2.5 total looks justified based on the combined metrics.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Over the last five games, Chelsea averages 4.8 corners, Leeds 5. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners: Chelsea has 1 out of 5, Leeds 4 out of 5. For the 9.5 corners total, both sides are available: over 9.5 is at 1.68, under 9.5 at 2.05. For the corner outcome, Chelsea is the favorite with odds of 1.40. On average, the teams together deliver about 9.8 corners per game, which is close to the chosen line. A bet on over 9.5 corners seems most logical, considering Leeds' profile and overall activity in this metric.