Prediction for match Chelsea — Newcastle

Odds and Outcome Probability

On 14.03.2026, Chelsea will face Newcastle in the English Premier League. The 1X2 odds offer Chelsea's win at 1.86, Newcastle's at 4.12, and a draw at 4.26. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Chelsea - 52.96%, draw - 23.13%, Newcastle - 23.91%. Chelsea is favored by both percentages and odds, but Newcastle still has a fair chance. The most interesting betting options are related to totals, considering both teams' recent scoring performances.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chelsea averaged 58.6% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 9.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Newcastle's stats are: 52% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Chelsea's last three results: 11.03.2026 PSG - Chelsea 5-2, 07.03.2026 Wrexham - Chelsea 2-4, 04.03.2026 Aston Villa - Chelsea 1-4. Newcastle's recent matches: 10.03.2026 Newcastle - Barcelona 1-1, 07.03.2026 Newcastle - Manchester City 1-3, 04.03.2026 Newcastle - Manchester United 2-1. Their last head-to-head was on 20.12.2025: Newcastle - Chelsea 2-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Chelsea has an average total of 4.6 goals, scoring 2.4 and conceding 2.2 per game. Newcastle averages 3.8 goals, with 1.8 scored and 2 conceded. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 4 out of 5 games, indicating high scoring potential. Chelsea has seen over 1.5 goals in the first half in 4 out of 5 matches and over 1.5 in the second half in 3 out of 5. Newcastle has over 1.5 in both halves in 4 out of 5 games. Chelsea most frequently scored between 0-15 and 76-90 minutes (27% each), while Newcastle scored most often in the final minutes (76-90, 33%). Chelsea conceded most frequently between 31-45 minutes (40%), and Newcastle between 46-60 minutes (36%). This profile of both teams in terms of totals and frequency of over 2.5 goals supports a bet on over 2.75 goals at 1.56.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Chelsea averages 6.8 corners over 5 games, Newcastle 6. Both teams have seen over 9.5 corners in 4 out of 5 games for Chelsea and 3 out of 5 for Newcastle. The line closest to the average total (12.8) is 10.5. Odds for over 10.5 corners are 1.73, and under 10.5 is 1.99. Chelsea is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.60. Expect active wing play and numerous set-pieces, as supported by recent match statistics for both teams.