Prediction for match Chengdu Rongcheng — Henan Jianye

Match Analysis: Chengdu Rongcheng vs Henan Jianye

In the Chinese Super League on May 9, Chengdu Rongcheng will face Henan Jianye. According to 1X2 odds, Chengdu Rongcheng is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.58, a draw at 4.53, and a win for Henan Jianye at 5.20. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.51% for a Chengdu Rongcheng win, 21.10% for a draw, and 18.39% for a Henan Jianye victory. This setup is supported by recent match statistics: Chengdu Rongcheng has shown more consistent results and high scoring ability, which is reflected in the bookmakers' odds. Expectations for this match lean towards Chengdu Rongcheng's advantage, although Henan Jianye is capable of putting up a fight, considering their past encounters.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chengdu Rongcheng has been in strong form: they defeated Shenyang Urban 1-0, overcame Shanghai Shenhua 3-2, and routed Zhejiang Professional 4-0. They also secured victories against Yunnan Yukun 2-1 and Wuhan Three Towns 1-0. Henan Jianye, in their last three matches, drew 1-1 with Chongqing Tongliang Long, achieved a big win over Shenyang Urban 4-0, and lost to Shanghai Shenhua 0-3. In their previous head-to-head on October 31, 2025, Henan Jianye beat Chengdu Rongcheng 2-1. In secondary statistics, Chengdu Rongcheng averages 58.2% possession, commits 13 fouls, receives 1.8 yellow cards, and records 2.2 offsides per game. Henan Jianye shows 50.8% possession, 14 fouls, 2.2 yellow cards, and 1.4 offsides. These figures indicate high activity from both teams, but Chengdu Rongcheng tends to control the ball more and play more cautiously in defense.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, both teams have similar profiles in terms of totals: Chengdu Rongcheng had 3 out of 5 games with over 2.5 goals, and Henan Jianye similarly had 3 out of 5 over. The average number of goals in Chengdu Rongcheng's matches is 2.8, while Henan Jianye's is 2.4. Chengdu Rongcheng scores an average of 2.2 goals per game, conceding only 0.6, while Henan Jianye scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2. In terms of halves, Chengdu Rongcheng had 2 out of 5 matches with over 1.5 goals in the first half, and similarly 2 out of 5 in the second half. Henan Jianye had only 1 out of 5 in the first half over 1.5, but 4 out of 5 in the second half were high-scoring. Chengdu Rongcheng most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (38%), while Henan Jianye scores most often late in the game, between the 76th and 90th minutes (43%). Chengdu Rongcheng concedes most often in the last 15 minutes (50%), while Henan Jianye concedes both at the end of the first half (31-45, 40%) and in the middle of the second half (61-75, 40%). These data suggest that the match is likely to be high-scoring, especially in the second half. Considering the average scoring from both sides and the frequent over 2.5 totals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.62 seems logical.

Corner Totals Analysis

Both teams are identical in terms of average corners: Chengdu Rongcheng and Henan Jianye both have 4.8 corners per game in their last five matches. For the frequency of over 9.5 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng had 2 out of 5 matches go over, while Henan Jianye had 1 out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the combined average (4.8+4.8=9.6) is 9.5. Odds for over 9.5 corners are 2.00, and for under 1.80. Given the average activity in corner deliveries and the not-so-high frequency of exceeding the upper total, a bet on corners closer to 9.5 seems justified. Both teams are capable of creating pressure on the flanks, which could lead to an increase in the number of corners as the match progresses.