Prediction for match Chengdu Rongcheng — Sichuan Jiuniu

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In the Chinese Super League match between Chengdu Rongcheng and Sichuan Jiuniu, scheduled for March 6, 2026, the odds clearly favor Chengdu Rongcheng as the favorite. Chengdu Rongcheng is given odds of 1.27 to win, a draw is priced at 5.95, and a victory for Sichuan Jiuniu is at 10.50. The probability percentages for the outcomes are as follows: Chengdu Rongcheng - 74.94%, draw - 16.00%, Sichuan Jiuniu - 9.06%. Among the totals, the option for over 2.5 goals with odds of 1.50 is particularly intriguing, given the attacking profile of both teams and the frequent occurrence of this line in their matches. Additionally, both teams to score: yes is at 1.97, and no is at 1.75, indicating the possibility of goals from both sides, though not guaranteed by statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Chengdu Rongcheng averaged 50.6% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Sichuan Jiuniu, over the same period, showed 33.4% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 13.6 fouls, and 0.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Chengdu Rongcheng played as follows: February 17, 2026 - Machida Zelvia - Chengdu Rongcheng 3-2, February 10, 2026 - Chengdu Rongcheng - Buriram United 0-1, December 9, 2025 - Vissel Kobe - Chengdu Rongcheng 2-2. Sichuan Jiuniu's last three results were: November 22, 2025 - Sichuan Jiuniu - Chengdu Rongcheng 1-1, October 31, 2025 - Shanghai Shenhua - Sichuan Jiuniu 1-0, October 24, 2025 - Wuhan Three Towns - Sichuan Jiuniu 1-2. Their last head-to-head match was on November 22, 2025, ending in a 1-1 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Chengdu Rongcheng shows an average total of 2.8 goals in their last five matches, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.6 per game. Sichuan Jiuniu has an overall total of 2.4, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1.2. For the over 2.5 goals market, Chengdu Rongcheng passed in 2 out of 5 matches, while Sichuan Jiuniu did so in 3 out of 5. In the first half, both teams saw over 1.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches, while in the second half, Chengdu Rongcheng had 3 out of 5, and Sichuan Jiuniu had 1 out of 5. Chengdu Rongcheng most frequently scores in the intervals 0-15 (29%), 16-30 (29%), and 46-60 (29%), while Sichuan Jiuniu scores mainly in the first 15 minutes (67%). Chengdu Rongcheng concedes most often in the 31-45 and 76-90 minute intervals (29% each), whereas Sichuan Jiuniu concedes in the 46-60 minutes (33%). All this points to both teams' tendency for productive periods, especially at the start of matches and after the break. With average goals and the frequency of over 2.5 totals, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.50 seems justified: both teams score regularly, and Chengdu Rongcheng's defense is not particularly reliable.

Corners in the Match

On average, Chengdu Rongcheng earns 4 corners per game, and Sichuan Jiuniu 3.4. In the last five matches, Chengdu Rongcheng had 2 out of 5 games with over 9.5 corners, while Sichuan Jiuniu had 4 out of 5. Considering the total corners, the line closest to the sum of averages is 7.5, with odds for over 7.5 corners at 1.24 and under 7.5 at 3.32. There's also a 9.5 line: over 9.5 at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.85. Based on Sichuan Jiuniu's corner activity and their frequent passing of higher totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical. Individually, Chengdu Rongcheng consistently earns more corners, while Sichuan Jiuniu often finds themselves trailing in this component. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set-pieces, especially if it follows an open scenario.