Prediction for match Club America — Leon, 02.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In the upcoming Liga MX clash between Club America and Leon on November 2, bookmakers clearly favor Club America. The odds for a straight win for Club America are 1.33, a draw is priced at 5.00, and a victory for Leon is at 9.00. The estimated probabilities are: Club America - 70.73%, draw - 18.81%, Leon - 10.45%. These odds highlight the clear advantage Club America holds in this matchup. Additionally, the odds for under 3.5 total goals are 1.62, making this an attractive betting option given the other figures.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Club America has shown confident ball possession (57.4%), averages 1.2 yellow cards per game, commits 7.6 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times on average. In the same period, Leon maintains 52.8% possession, receives 2.4 yellow cards, commits 11.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. In their last three matches, Club America played as follows: October 25 - Mazatlan 2-2 Club America, October 22 - Club America 2-1 Puebla, October 19 - Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America. Leon's last three games were: October 26 - Leon 1-1 UNAM Pumas, October 23 - Atlas 2-0 Leon, October 18 - Santos Laguna 2-0 Leon. In their head-to-head on February 20, Club America and Leon drew 1-1, with the total not exceeding 2.5 goals.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last 5 matches, Club America saw over 2.5 total goals in all 5, while Leon only had it once. By halves, Club America had over 1.5 goals in the first half in 2 out of 5 cases, and in the second half - 3 out of 5. Leon had over 1.5 goals in the first half only once in 5 matches, and in the second half - 2 out of 5. The average number of goals in Club America's last 5 matches is 3.6, for Leon it's 2.8. Club America scores an average of 2.4 goals, while Leon scores 0.6, conceding 2.2. Club America most frequently scores between the 61st-75th minute (38%), while Leon also scores most in the same interval (33%). Club America concedes most often between the 31st-45th minute (40%), while Leon concedes evenly between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). The dynamics of totals and recent performances suggest that a bet on under 3.5 goals looks optimal: Leon has a weak attack, Club America scores regularly but not excessively, and under 3.5 covers a wide range of possible scores.

Corner Totals Analysis

On corners, Club America averages 7.2 per game, while Leon averages 6.8. Over a five-match cycle, the total corners over 9.5 occurred 3 times for Club America and 2 times for Leon. For this match, the line for total corners over 9.5 is at 1.82, under 9.5 at 1.98. A win on corners for Club America is priced at 1.22, confirming their set-piece activity. Based on the average number of corners and the frequency of surpassing the 9.5 total, a bet on over 9.5 corners is justified, although the odds are quite moderate. In the current situation, considering over 9.5 corners as an additional option makes sense.