Prediction for match Brugge — Charleroi, 22.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the Jupiler Pro League match between Brugge and Charleroi, taking place on November 22, 2025, bookmakers have a clear favorite. Brugge's win is priced at 1.46, translating to a 65.24% probability. A draw is offered at odds of 4.71, with a probability of 20.22%. If Charleroi manages to win, it would pay out at 6.55, with a probability of 14.54%. Thus, Brugge has the highest chance of winning according to the odds and percentages. Considering these odds, attention to other markets is also justified, as the gap in chances between the teams is quite significant.

Team Results and Statistics

Looking at secondary indicators over the last five matches, Brugge averages 46.8% possession, commits 8.8 fouls, receives 1.6 yellow cards, and is caught offside once per game. Charleroi commits slightly more fouls - 9.4 on average, receives 2.8 yellow cards, and is caught offside 1.8 times, with possession at 44.4%. In their last three matches, Brugge played as follows: November 9 - Anderlecht vs Brugge 1-0, November 5 - Brugge vs Barcelona 3-3, November 1 - Brugge vs Dender 2-1. Charleroi's last three results were: November 8 - Charleroi vs Westerlo 2-0, October 31 - Standard Liege vs Charleroi 3-1, October 24 - Charleroi vs Anderlecht 1-0. In their previous head-to-head meeting on March 16, 2025, Brugge defeated Charleroi 4-2, with the total over 2.5 goals achieved.

Goal Statistics

Analyzing scoring statistics, Brugge averages 3 goals per match over a five-match span, while Charleroi averages 2.8. Both teams have hit the over 2.5 goals mark in 3 of their last 5 games. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals were scored 3 times out of 5 for both teams, while in the second half, this figure is lower: Brugge only once out of 5, Charleroi twice out of 5. Brugge most frequently scores in the 0-15 minute interval (40%), while Charleroi scores most often between the 46th and 60th and 61st and 75th minutes (27% each). Brugge also concedes most often at the start (0-15 minutes, 40%) and the end (76-90 minutes, 40%), while Charleroi concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%). On average, both teams score 1.2 goals and concede 1.6-1.8. From these data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.65 seems justified: both teams regularly play high-scoring games, with 3 out of 5 games hitting the over, and their average goals exceed 2.5. It should also be noted that their head-to-head meetings often ended with a lot of goals.

Corner Totals Analysis

In terms of corners, Brugge averages 3.6 over the last five games, while Charleroi averages 4.2. In 3 out of 5 matches, Brugge's total corners exceeded 9.5, while Charleroi did so in 2 out of 5. The odds for over 8.75 corners are 1.54, the same as for under. Brugge's victory on corners is priced at 1.27. Given these stats, a logical option is a bet on Charleroi's individual corners over 3, as the team consistently delivers more than 4 per game, and the overall total over 8.75 could also be considered, given Brugge's frequent over totals.