Prediction for match Brugge — St. Truiden

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

On May 9th in the Jupiler Pro League, Brugge will face St. Truiden. According to bookmakers, Brugge is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.52, a draw at 4.66, and a win for St. Truiden at 5.78. Looking at the outcome probabilities, Brugge has a 62.93% chance of winning, a draw is at 20.53%, and St. Truiden has a 16.55% chance. This reflects confidence in Brugge's strength, considering their current form and recent results. Comparing the odds, it's clear that Brugge has a significant advantage across all main lines, while St. Truiden is considered the underdog.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Brugge shows stability in several secondary metrics: possession - 51.4%, average yellow cards - 1, fouls - 10.8, offsides - 0.8. St. Truiden has higher possession - 57.8%, yellow cards - 1, fouls - 10.8, offsides - 0.6. In Brugge's last three games: May 3rd - Anderlecht vs Brugge 1-3, April 26th - Gent vs Brugge 0-2, April 22nd - Brugge vs Mechelen 6-1. For St. Truiden: May 2nd - St. Truiden vs Union Saint-Gilloise 2-1, April 26th - Mechelen vs St. Truiden 1-4, April 23rd - St. Truiden vs Anderlecht 2-0. Their last head-to-head was on April 11th: St. Truiden vs Brugge 1-2.

Total Goals Statistics

Brugge's recent five matches show an average total of 3.8 goals, scoring an average of 2.8 and conceding 1 per game. St. Truiden averages 2.6 goals, with 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. Regarding over 2.5 goals: Brugge has 4 out of 5 matches over, St. Truiden has 3 out of 5 over. In the first half, Brugge has 2 out of 5 over 1.5, St. Truiden has 1 out of 5. In the second half, Brugge has 3 out of 5 over 1.5, St. Truiden has 4 out of 5. For goal intervals: Brugge scores most frequently between 76-90 minutes (40%), St. Truiden also in 76-90 minutes (50%). For conceded goals: Brugge most often concedes in the first 15 minutes (44%), St. Truiden in the final minutes (76-90, 43%). These stats suggest a high likelihood of both teams scoring, supported by their average scoring rates. The bet on both teams to score: yes is at 1.51 and seems a logical choice given the attacking activity and regular over totals.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last five games, Brugge has averaged 4.6 corners, St. Truiden - 7. For over 9.5 corners: Brugge has 3 out of 5, St. Truiden has 5 out of 5. Considering a bet on the corner total, the 9.5 line is closest to the sum of the teams' averages. The over 9.5 corners line is at 1.55, under 9.5 at 2.35. Given the match dynamics, both teams tend to be very active on the flanks, often leading to a high number of corners. Based on the statistics, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially considering the regular occurrence of this total for both teams.