Prediction for match Queretaro — Cruz Azul

Match Analysis: Queretaro vs Cruz Azul

In Liga MX on April 22, Queretaro will face Cruz Azul. According to the 1X2 odds, Cruz Azul is the favorite: their victory is priced at 1.70, a draw at 3.82, and a Queretaro win at 4.47. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Queretaro win - 20.84%, draw - 24.38%, Cruz Azul win - 54.78%. This setup reflects Cruz Azul's advantage in the eyes of bookmakers and probabilities, although the difference between a draw and a Queretaro win isn't that significant. The match promises to be tactically interesting, considering both teams have their strengths, but Cruz Azul is rated higher.

Recent Form of Queretaro and Cruz Azul

Looking at Queretaro's last five matches, the team performed as follows: April 18, 2026, Mazatlan - Queretaro 1-1, April 11, 2026, Queretaro - Necaxa 3-1, April 8, 2026, Queretaro - Juarez 1-1. In the previous two encounters, there was a draw with Toluca 1-0 and a goalless draw with Atlas. Cruz Azul in their last five matches showed these results: April 18, 2026, Cruz Azul - Tijuana 1-1, April 15, 2026, Cruz Azul - Los Angeles FC 1-1, April 12, 2026, Club America - Cruz Azul 1-1. Before that, they lost to Los Angeles FC 0-3 and Pachuca 1-2. On average over five matches, Queretaro had 33% possession, received 1.2 yellow cards, committed 8.4 fouls, and had 2.6 offsides per game. Cruz Azul demonstrated 62.4% possession, 2.2 yellows, 12.4 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. In the head-to-head encounter on September 25, 2025, Cruz Azul and Queretaro drew 2-2, adding intrigue to the upcoming match.

How Many Goals in Queretaro vs Cruz Azul?

In the last five matches, Queretaro's average total goals per game is 1.8, while Cruz Azul's is 2.4. Queretaro scored an average of 1.2 goals and conceded 0.6, while Cruz Azul scored 0.8 and conceded 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Queretaro had only 1 out of 5, Cruz Azul 2 out of 5. In the first half, Queretaro recorded over 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Cruz Azul in 4 out of 5. In the second half, Queretaro had 2 out of 5 for over 1.5, Cruz Azul 0 out of 5. Regarding goal intervals, Queretaro most frequently scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Cruz Azul scores between 16-30 minutes (57%). Queretaro most often concedes in three intervals: 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each), while Cruz Azul evenly at 20% in each of the five intervals. Considering both teams are not highly prolific in scoring and over 2.5 goals do not dominate, a bet on under 2.5 goals seems justified. The odds for this outcome are 2.11.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Queretaro averages 6.2 corners per game, Cruz Azul 6.8. In the last five matches, Queretaro had over 9.5 corners 4 times, Cruz Azul 3 times. Considering the totals, the most aligned with the average corner sum (13) is the total of 9.5, for which there are odds: over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.77, under 9.5 at 1.92. For the corner outcome, Cruz Azul is favored with odds of 1.49. Given the average corner activity of both teams, it makes sense to consider a bet on over 9.5 corners, as well as noting Cruz Azul's edge in corner outcomes. Overall, both teams tend to play actively on the wings, as confirmed by their corner statistics.