Prediction for match Queretaro — Guadalajara, 23.10.2025

Who is the favorite in the Queretaro vs Guadalajara match?

On October 23, 2025, in Liga MX, Queretaro will face Guadalajara. The 1X2 odds highlight Guadalajara as the clear favorite: their victory is rated at 1.73 with a probability of 54.83%. A draw is set at odds of 3.50 with a probability of 27.10%, and a Queretaro win is at 5.25 with an 18.07% chance. Therefore, Guadalajara is the team with the highest probability of winning among all outcomes.

Team results and statistics

In the last five matches, Queretaro has averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game, with a total goal average of 3.2. They average 3.2 corners per match, receive 1.6 yellow cards, commit 12.8 fouls, and have a possession rate of 31.8%. Guadalajara, over the same period, averages 1.8 goals scored, 1 goal conceded, with a total of 2.8 goals, 5 corners, 1.8 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and a possession rate of 46.2%. In their last five games, Queretaro lost to Toluca 0-4 (18.10.2025), defeated Puebla 3-1 (04.10.2025), and drew with Cruz Azul 2-2 (25.09.2025). Guadalajara beat Mazatlan 2-0 (19.10.2025), won against UNAM Pumas 2-1 (06.10.2025), and defeated Puebla 2-0 (27.09.2025). In head-to-head encounters, the results were: 1-1 (01.02.2025), 0-2 (17.07.2024), 2-0 (21.04.2024), 1-2 (01.11.2023), 1-1 (05.02.2023).

How many goals to expect?

In the last five games, both teams have exceeded the total of over 2.5 goals three times. Queretaro had 3 out of 5 matches end with more than 2.5 goals, and Guadalajara similarly had 3 out of 5. Queretaro's average total goals are 3.2, while Guadalajara's are 2.8. In terms of goals scored: Queretaro averages 1.4, and Guadalajara 1.8 per game. In the first half, Queretaro exceeded 1.5 goals in 3 cases, Guadalajara in 4. In the second half, both teams had 2 out of 5 games with over 1.5 goals. Queretaro most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (30%) and concedes between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Guadalajara most frequently scores between the 31st and 45th minutes (57%) and concedes between the 46th and 60th minutes (38%).

Betting on corners

Queretaro averages 3.2 corners, and Guadalajara 5 per match. In the last 5 games, both teams have exceeded the total corners of over 9.5 three times. The odds for total corners are set at: over 9.5 corners at 1.73, under 9.5 at 2.00. Guadalajara is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.44.