Prediction for match Queretaro — Mazatlán, 03.11.2025

Match Analysis: Queretaro vs Mazatlán

In Liga MX on November 2, Queretaro faces Mazatlán. The odds for a Queretaro win are 2.20, a draw is 3.30, and a Mazatlán victory is 3.30. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Queretaro 42.86%, draw 28.57%, Mazatlán 28.57%. Queretaro is the favorite, but the gap in chances with Mazatlán does not exceed 14.3 percentage points, and the likelihood of a draw is quite high. Queretaro has a moderate advantage, as reflected in the odds and percentages, but the match could be closely contested given the distribution of chances.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Queretaro has an average possession of 39.2%, with 1.8 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Mazatlán averages 43.8% possession, 2.6 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides. In Queretaro's last three matches: on 26.10 they lost 3-1 to Santos Laguna, won 1-0 against Guadalajara on 23.10, and lost 4-0 to Toluca on 18.10. Mazatlán's recent results: a 2-2 draw with Club America on 25.10, a 2-2 draw with Santos Laguna on 22.10, and a 2-0 loss to Guadalajara on 19.10. In their last head-to-head on 15.03.2025, Queretaro won 1-0 against Mazatlán, with under 2.5 goals. These statistics on discipline, fouls, and offsides indicate that both teams play actively but without a significant bias towards roughness.

Goals by Match Statistics

In terms of totals over five matches, Queretaro had 3 out of 5 games over 2.5 goals, while Mazatlán had 4 out of 5 over 2.5. For first-half goals: both teams had 2 out of 5 games over 1.5 goals. In the second half, both teams had 3 out of 5 over 1.5. Queretaro's average goals per game is 3, while Mazatlán's is 3.4. Queretaro scores an average of 1 and concedes 2, while Mazatlán scores 1.4 and concedes 2. By intervals: Queretaro most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minute (25%), while Mazatlán scores either in the 16th-30th (27%) or the 76th-90th minute (27%). Queretaro concedes evenly across four intervals (25% each), while Mazatlán concedes half of their goals in the 76th-90th minute. The overall trend is that both teams are involved in high-scoring matches while also conceding quite a few goals. Considering that over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 for Queretaro and 4 out of 5 for Mazatlán, and the average scoring exceeds 3 goals, betting on over 2.5 goals at odds of 2.00 seems logical based on these indicators.

Corners in the Match

Queretaro averages 2.2 corners over 5 games, while Mazatlán averages 3.8. The total corners over 9.5 occurred in 2 out of 5 matches for Queretaro and only once for Mazatlán. The odds for total corners: over 9.5 is at 1.73, under 9.5 is at 2.00. The favorite for corners is Queretaro with odds of 1.95. Queretaro averages fewer corners than Mazatlán, which could influence the dynamics of this metric. Based on these figures, a bet on under 9.5 corners at odds of 2.00 seems reasonable, considering the low average delivery from both teams and the frequency of under results in recent matches.