Prediction for match Queretaro — Necaxa

Odds and Probability of Match Outcomes

On April 11 in Liga MX, Queretaro faces Necaxa. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: Queretaro win at 2.44, draw at 3.28, and Necaxa win at 2.74. Bookmakers estimate the probabilities as: Queretaro - 37.96%, draw - 28.24%, Necaxa - 33.80%. Options for totals: under 2.5 goals is at 1.92, and over 2.5 is at 1.84. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.64, no at 2.13. The double chance X2 is offered at 1.50. Paying attention to totals and defensive stats of both teams is crucial when choosing a bet for this match.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Queretaro recorded the following results: 1-1 against Juarez (08.04.2026), 1-0 against Toluca (04.04.2026), 0-0 against Atlas (21.03.2026), 0-0 against Tigres UANL (15.03.2026), 1-2 against Club America (07.03.2026). Necaxa played as follows in their five games: 2-1 against Mazatlan (04.04.2026), 3-0 against Tijuana (21.03.2026), 0-0 against Puebla (14.03.2026), 0-1 against UNAM Pumas (07.03.2026), 1-2 against Pachuca (04.03.2026). On average over five matches: Queretaro has 30.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 13 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Necaxa has 51.6% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.6 fouls, 1.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on July 19, 2025, Necaxa beat Queretaro 3-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Queretaro's average total goals is 1.2, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.6 per game. Necaxa's average total goals is 2, scoring 1.2 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals: Queretaro has 1 out of 5, Necaxa has 3 out of 5. By halves: Queretaro has 1 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half, Necaxa has 2 out of 5; in the second half, both teams have 1 out of 5 over 1.5. Queretaro most frequently scores between the 76th-90th minute (67%), and concedes evenly across three intervals: 16-30, 61-75, and 76-90 (33% each). Necaxa's goals are distributed across three intervals: 0-15, 31-45, and 46-60 (29% each), with goals conceded in the 31-45, 46-60, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Overall, Queretaro has a strong defensive profile, while Necaxa's numbers are slightly higher but not enough to expect a high-scoring match. Both teams' average goals scored and conceded don't exceed 1.2, and over 2.5 goals isn't dominant. This supports a bet on under 2.5 goals.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Queretaro averages 7 corners per game, Necaxa 6. Over five matches, Queretaro has 5 out of 5 over 9.5 corners, Necaxa has 4 out of 5. Among the available corner totals closest to their average (13) is 9.5. Odds for corners: over 9.5 - no odds available, under 9.5 - no odds available. Both teams show high activity in corners, which might be interesting for betting on over 9.5 corners. No clear favorite in corner outcomes as both teams consistently achieve high numbers. Overall, considering the average numbers and frequency, a bet on over corners seems logical.