Prediction for match Tijuana — Mazatlán

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX, Tijuana will face Mazatlán on February 22. The odds for a Tijuana win are 1.45, a draw is at 4.60, and a Mazatlán victory is at 5.93. The probability of Tijuana winning is estimated at 64.11%, a draw at 20.21%, and Mazatlán at 15.68%. This suggests a clear advantage for Tijuana, but the odds on totals and both teams to score are also worth considering. Among markets with odds over 1.50, the over 2.5 goals at 1.55 stands out as an interesting betting option, considering the teams' scoring profiles.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tijuana averaged 47.2% possession, received 3 yellow cards, committed 15.4 fouls, and were caught offside 1.4 times per game. Mazatlán, in the same period, showed 40.2% possession, 2 yellow cards, 12 fouls, and 2 offsides. Tijuana's last three games were: February 14 Toluca - Tijuana 1-0, February 7 Tijuana - Puebla 0-0, February 1 Monterrey - Tijuana 2-2. Mazatlán in the same span: February 15 Santos Laguna - Mazatlán 1-2, February 7 Mazatlán - Guadalajara 1-2, January 31 Atlas - Mazatlán 1-0. In their last head-to-head on August 10, 2025, Mazatlán and Tijuana ended in a 2-2 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Tijuana averaged 1 goal scored and 1 conceded, with a total of 2 goals per game. Mazatlán's averages are higher: 1 scored and 2.2 conceded, totaling 3.2 goals per match. Tijuana had over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, while Mazatlán had it in 4 out of 5. In the first half, Mazatlán played over 1.5 goals in 4 out of 5, and Tijuana in 1. In the second half, Tijuana had over 1.5 goals in 2 cases, Mazatlán only once. For goal intervals: Tijuana most often scores between 16-30 minutes (60%), while Mazatlán scores in the first 15 minutes (50%). Tijuana concedes most between 61-75 minutes (40%), and Mazatlán from 16 to 30 minutes (36%). Given Mazatlán's high scoring and both teams' not-so-reliable defense, a bet on over 2.5 goals seems justified.

Corners in the Match

Tijuana and Mazatlán average 4.2 corners per game each. In their last five matches, both teams had over 9.5 corners 3 times out of 5. Among the available corner totals, the line closest to the average sum (8.4) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.49, under 8.5 at 2.45. For corner outcomes, Tijuana is the favorite with odds of 1.38. Considering the average corner activity and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical for this match.