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Prediction for match Tijuana — UNAM Pumas

Match prediction Tijuana — UNAM Pumas, Liga MX, 28.02.2026

Odds and Probabilities for Match Outcome

In Liga MX on February 28, Tijuana will face UNAM Pumas. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.40 for a Tijuana win, 3.22 for a draw, and 2.89 for a UNAM Pumas victory. The probability percentages are as follows: Tijuana - 38.82%, draw - 28.94%, UNAM Pumas - 32.24%. Based on the odds and percentages, Tijuana has a slight edge, but the gap between the teams is minimal, promising a closely contested match. Goal total options are also intriguing: over 2.5 goals is at 1.92, under 2.5 at 1.84. Both teams to score: yes is at 1.70, no at 2.04. Double chance on a draw or UNAM Pumas win is at 1.53. For individual totals: Tijuana over 1 goal is at 1.51, UNAM Pumas at 1.71. For halves: the total for the second half over 1.5 is at 2.12.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Tijuana's averages are: possession - 48.6%, yellow cards - 3.2, fouls - 15.2, offsides - 2. UNAM Pumas in the same period: possession - 44.2%, yellow cards - 1.2, fouls - 10.4, offsides - 0.4. Tijuana's last three matches: 22.02.2026 - Tijuana vs Mazatlan - 1-1, 14.02.2026 - Toluca vs Tijuana - 1-0, 07.02.2026 - Tijuana vs Puebla - 0-0. UNAM Pumas: 22.02.2026 - UNAM Pumas vs Monterrey - 2-0, 14.02.2026 - Puebla vs UNAM Pumas - 2-3, 11.02.2026 - UNAM Pumas vs San Diego - 1-0. In their last head-to-head on 02.11.2025, UNAM Pumas defeated Tijuana 4-1.

How Many Goals Will Be in Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas Match

In terms of scoring, Tijuana's average total goals in the last 5 games is 1.8, UNAM Pumas is 3.4. Tijuana scores an average of 0.8 goals per match, concedes 1, while UNAM Pumas scores 1.8 and concedes 1.6. For over 2.5 goals: Tijuana has 1 out of 5, UNAM Pumas 3 out of 5. For the first half over 1.5 goals: Tijuana 1 out of 5, UNAM Pumas 3 out of 5. For the second half over 1.5 goals: Tijuana 1 out of 5, UNAM Pumas 2 out of 5. Goal intervals: Tijuana most often scores between 16-30 minutes (60%), and UNAM Pumas between 76-90 minutes (36%). For goals conceded: Tijuana distributes conceded goals across four intervals (25% each in 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, 76-90), while UNAM Pumas concedes 50% of their goals between 31-45 minutes. Overall, UNAM Pumas appears to be the more productive side, while Tijuana is more defensive. The over 2.5 goals at 1.92 is an interesting bet, considering UNAM Pumas' attacking profile and their consistent overs.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For the average number of corners in 5 matches: Tijuana - 4.6, UNAM Pumas - 1.8. Frequency of over 9.5 corners: Tijuana 3 out of 5, UNAM Pumas 2 out of 5. Among totals with two outcomes closest to the average corners sum (6.4) is total 7.5: over 7.5 is at 1.35, under 7.5 at 2.93. For corners outcome: Tijuana is favored with odds of 1.79. In this match, it's logical to consider a bet on Tijuana's individual total corners over 4.5 or a total over 7.5, considering their average figures and frequency of overs in recent matches. UNAM Pumas appears less active in corners, as confirmed by their average of 1.8 per game. Options for total corners over 8.5 (1.61) or over 9 (1.79) could also be interesting for riskier bets, but the main focus should be on Tijuana's activity in this component.

Sportwars.net Prediction for Tijuana vs UNAM Pumas, 28.02.2026 - Total over 2.5, odds 1.92. Correct score: 2:1, odds 8.50.
28.02.26
FT
Tijuana
Tijuana
1
UNAM Pumas
UNAM Pumas
1
Tip:
Over 2.5 goals
Odds:
1.92
Author: Sportwars AI Model
The prediction is based on recent match statistics, head-to-head results, and the current form of the teams. The text and data have been verified by the website team.
26.02.26, 19:00
* statistical data are taken from the match page section Teams stats comparison

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