Prediction for match Colchester — MK Dons, 01.11.2025

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In the FA Cup on November 1, Colchester United will face MK Dons. The odds reflect a fairly close distribution: a win for Colchester United is priced at 2.35, MK Dons at 2.88, and a draw at 3.50. In terms of probabilities: Colchester United has a 40.20% chance, a draw is at 26.99%, and MK Dons at 32.80%. This suggests that Colchester United is slightly favored, but the difference is not significant. The line also includes over 2.5 goals at 1.80 and both teams to score: yes at 1.62, indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Colchester United averaged 52% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 2.4 offsides per match. MK Dons slightly trail in possession (44.4%) but commit more fouls (15.2) and receive 2.2 yellows. In their last three matches, Colchester United: 25.10 - Swindon Town - Colchester United 0-0, 18.10 - Colchester United - Harrogate Town 3-1, 11.10 - Grimsby Town - Colchester United 1-2. MK Dons: 25.10 - Bromley - MK Dons 2-1, 18.10 - MK Dons - Crewe Alexandra 3-1, 11.10 - Bristol Rovers - MK Dons 0-4. Their last head-to-head on 01.03.2025 ended MK Dons - Colchester United 0-1, which corresponds to under 2.5 goals. Previous encounters have also seen high scores.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Colchester United had an average total of 3.6 goals, scoring 2.6 and conceding 1. MK Dons are also prolific: an average of 3.4 goals, scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.2. In 4 of the last 5 matches for both teams, over 2.5 goals occurred. By halves, Colchester United had over 1.5 goals in the first half three times out of five, twice in the second half. MK Dons had over 1.5 goals only once in the first half but four times in the second half. This highlights a trend for more goals after the break. By intervals: Colchester United most frequently scores in the 0-15 (25%), 31-45 (25%), and 76-90 (25%) minutes. MK Dons - in the 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 (22% each) minutes. In terms of goals conceded: Colchester United concedes most often in the first 15 minutes (33%), MK Dons in the final 76-90 (75%). All this forms expectations of goals from both sides, especially in the second half, supporting the bet both teams to score: yes. This option is priced at 1.62, which is above the 1.50 threshold and logical given such statistics, considering both teams average more than one goal and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4 out of 5.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Colchester United averaged 4.8 corners per match over the last five games, MK Dons - 2.4. The frequency of over 9.5 corners for Colchester United is 1 out of 5, for MK Dons - 2 out of 5. The line for over 9.5 corners is priced at 2.00, under at 1.80. Colchester United is favored to win the corner battle at odds of 1.73. In this matchup, considering a bet on Colchester United's individual total corners over 4.5 at 1.67 is logical, given their stable delivery performance, while the overall total over 9.5 looks risky due to the low frequency in both teams.