Prediction for match Como — Milan, 15.01.2026

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on January 15, Como will face Milan. According to the 1X2 betting odds, Milan is the favorite with odds of 2.60, while Como has odds of 3.07, and a draw is at 3.27. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Como win - 32.06%, draw - 30.09%, Milan win - 37.85%. This reflects Milan's moderate advantage, but Como also has a significant chance of achieving a positive result. Options for total goals and both teams to score are also available, but the main focus of the bookmakers is on the battle between the two teams with a slight edge towards Milan.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Como has an average possession of 60.6%, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and records 1 offside per game. Milan's averages are: possession 54.8%, yellow cards 2, fouls 9.8, and also 1 offside. Looking at Como's last three matches, they drew 1-1 with Bologna (10.01.2026), won 3-0 against Pisa (06.01.2026), and achieved a narrow 1-0 victory over Udinese (03.01.2026). Milan drew 1-1 with Fiorentina (11.01.2026), 1-1 with Genoa (08.01.2026), and won 1-0 against Cagliari (02.01.2026). In their head-to-head encounter on March 15, 2025, Milan defeated Como 2-1.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, both teams have an average total of 2 goals per match in their last five games, with Como scoring 1.6 and conceding 0.4, while Milan scores 1.2 and concedes 0.8. Como has seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and Milan in 1 out of 5. Neither team has surpassed a total of over 1.5 goals in the first half in their last five games, but in the second half, both have over 1.5 in 3 out of 5. Como most frequently scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (50%), while Milan distributes its goals between the 31st-45th, 46th-60th, and 61st-75th minutes (29% each). Como most often concedes between the 61st-75th minutes (43%), and Milan in the final stages, from the 76th to the 90th minute (50%). These stats suggest both teams tend to start cautiously but can increase activity in the second half. The overall goal profile leans towards the under: an average total of 2, with under 2.5 goals being more common, and the first half consistently low-scoring. Against this backdrop, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.82 seems logical - neither team has shown significant scoring prowess in the last five matches, and the frequency of over 2.5 goals is low.

Corner Totals Analysis

Como averages 4.2 corners over five matches, while Milan averages 7. In terms of frequency of over 9.5 corners, Como has 1 out of 5, and Milan 4 out of 5. When looking at the total corners, the closest to the average sum (11.2) is the line of 11.5, but there are no odds for it. The next closest is the total of 9.5, with both options available: over 9.5 at 2.27, under 9.5 at 1.59. A win on corners for Como is at 1.95. Based on the statistics, Milan consistently delivers more corners, and Como maintains an average level, so a logical option is the total corners over 9.5 or a bet on Milan's individual corner total if considering additional options.