Prediction for match Como — Fiorentina

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Serie A on February 14, 2026, Como will face Fiorentina. According to the 1X2 odds, Como is the favorite with a win priced at 1.79. A draw is offered at 3.96, while a Fiorentina victory is at 4.90. In terms of probabilities, Como has a 55.03% chance of winning, a draw is at 24.87%, and Fiorentina has a 20.10% chance. This shows analysts' confidence in Como's strength, especially given their recent performances. Additionally, the over 2.5 goals market is priced at 1.87, and both teams to score is at 1.73, indicating a tendency for high-scoring matches from both sides.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Como has an average possession of 62.6%, with 2.8 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 1.2 offsides per game. Fiorentina averages 50.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.8 fouls, and 2 offsides. Recent matches for Como include: 10.02.2026 - Napoli vs Como 7-8, 01.02.2026 - Como vs Atalanta 0-0, 27.01.2026 - Fiorentina vs Como 1-3. For Fiorentina: 07.02.2026 - Fiorentina vs Torino 2-2, 31.01.2026 - Napoli vs Fiorentina 2-1, 27.01.2026 - Fiorentina vs Como 1-3. In their last head-to-head on 27.01.2026, Fiorentina lost to Como 1-3.

Team Goal Scoring Trends

In the last five matches, Como averages 3 goals per game, scoring 2.6 and conceding only 0.4 on average. Fiorentina has an average total of 3.4 goals, scoring 1.4 and conceding 2. In terms of over 2.5 goals: Como had 3 out of 5 high-scoring matches, while Fiorentina had all 5. In the first half, more than 1.5 goals occurred for Como 3 times, and for Fiorentina 2 times, while in the second half, Como had 2 and Fiorentina 4 out of 5. Como frequently scores in the 0-15, 46-60, 61-75, and 76-90 minute intervals (22% each), while Fiorentina scores most often in the 46-60 interval (43%). Como concedes evenly across the 16-30, 31-45, and 46-60 minute intervals (25% each), while Fiorentina concedes most in the 16-30 and 46-60 intervals (30% each). Based on this data, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.87 seems logical: both teams regularly participate in high-scoring matches, especially Fiorentina, which has seen all 5 of their recent games go over.

Corners: Numbers and Betting Options

Como averages 4.2 corners per game, while Fiorentina averages 4.6. Over their last 5 matches, Como only saw the total corners exceed 9.5 once, and Fiorentina twice. Looking at the odds, the total corners over 8.5 is priced at 1.81, and under 8.5 at 1.89. Based on both teams' averages (4.2 + 4.6 = 8.8), a bet on over 8.5 corners seems justified. In the corners market, Como is favored with odds of 1.50. Overall, both teams tend to be active near the opponent's goal, which could lead to a high number of corners.