Prediction for match Cordoba — Burgos, 03.01.2026

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

On January 3, in the Spanish Segunda, Cordoba will face Burgos. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Cordoba victory at 2.16, a draw at 3.10, and a Burgos win at 3.89. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Cordoba 44.40%, draw 30.94%, Burgos 24.66%. Cordoba is considered the most likely winner, but the odds difference between a draw and a Burgos win is not significant. For total goals, under 2.5 is at 1.56, while over 2.5 is at 2.50. Both teams to score: no - 1.69, yes - 2.05. These odds reflect moderate scoring tendencies from both teams in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Cordoba had the following results: December 21 - Mirandes vs Cordoba 1-2, December 13 - Cordoba vs Eibar 0-0, December 7 - Leganes vs Cordoba 0-0. Burgos' last three matches were: December 21 - Burgos vs Real Zaragoza 1-1, December 18 - Burgos vs Getafe 3-1, December 14 - Almeria vs Burgos 1-2. In their last head-to-head on May 10, 2025, Burgos defeated Cordoba 3-2. Additional stats show Cordoba with an average possession of 62.6% over five matches, averaging 3.2 yellow cards, 15.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. Burgos has 43.8% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. Cordoba demonstrates higher ball control and slightly more yellow cards, while Burgos maintains average league stats in these areas.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over the last five matches, Cordoba averages 1.6 goals per game, scoring 0.8 and conceding 0.8. Burgos averages 2.2 goals, scoring 1.2 and conceding 1. Both teams have 2 out of 5 matches going over 2.5 total goals, with 3 out of 5 under. In the first half, Cordoba has 1 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Burgos has 2 out of 5. In the second half, Cordoba has 2 out of 5 over 1.5 goals, Burgos 1 out of 5. Cordoba most frequently scores in the 31-45, 46-60, and 61-75-minute intervals, with 33% of their goals in each. Burgos most often scores in the 31-45-minute interval, with 50% of their goals. Cordoba concedes most often in the 46-60-minute interval, with 50%, while Burgos concedes 33% in both the 31-45 and 76-90-minute intervals. Overall, neither team shows a strong over-profile, and their average goal stats and frequency of over 2.5 totals suggest moderate scoring. Combining stats and odds, a bet on under 2.5 goals at 1.56 seems the most logical for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Cordoba averages 6.2 corners per game, while Burgos averages 4.2. In their last five matches, Cordoba had 2 out of 5 games over 9.5 corners, and Burgos had 3 out of 5. The closest total to their average sum (10.4) is the 9.5 line. Over 9.5 corners is at 1.95, under 9.5 at 1.74. Cordoba is favored in corner outcomes with odds of 1.47. Considering both teams' average stats and the frequency of over 9.5 corners, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, especially given Cordoba's attacking style and tendency for set pieces.