Prediction for match Corinthians — Palmeiras

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

The Serie A match between Corinthians and Palmeiras is scheduled for April 12, 2026. The odds for Palmeiras to win are 2.53, for Corinthians to win are 2.98, and a draw is at 3.21. In terms of probability, Palmeiras has a 37.92% chance of winning, Corinthians 32.19%, and a draw is 29.89%. Although Palmeiras is slightly favored to win, the difference is not significant. A draw also has a substantial chance, but based on the odds and probabilities, Palmeiras seems to have a slight edge.

Team Results and Statistics

Corinthians' recent matches: April 10, 2026 - Platense 0-2 Corinthians, April 5, 2026 - Corinthians 0-1 Internacional, April 2, 2026 - Fluminense 3-1 Corinthians. Palmeiras' recent matches: April 9, 2026 - Junior Barranquilla 1-1 Palmeiras, April 5, 2026 - Bahia 1-2 Palmeiras, April 3, 2026 - Palmeiras 2-1 Gremio. On average over the last five matches, Corinthians has 52.8% possession, receives 2.6 yellow cards, commits 13.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times. Palmeiras has 49.2% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 14.2 fouls, and 3 offsides. In their last head-to-head on February 8, 2026, Corinthians lost to Palmeiras 0-1.

How Many Goals in the Corinthians vs Palmeiras Match

Corinthians averages 1.8 goals per game over their last five matches, while Palmeiras averages 2.4. Corinthians scores 0.8 and concedes 1 per game, whereas Palmeiras scores 1.6 and concedes 0.8. Regarding the over 2.5 goals market: Corinthians has seen it in 1 out of 5, and Palmeiras in 3 out of 5 matches. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred twice in Corinthians' games and never in Palmeiras'. In the second half, it occurred 2 out of 5 times for Corinthians and 3 out of 5 for Palmeiras. Corinthians often scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (50%) and concedes late (76th-90th, 40%). Palmeiras scores early (0-15, 33%) or right after the break (46-60, 33%) and concedes mostly between 46-60 (50%). Overall, Palmeiras shows a strong over profile, while Corinthians has modest goal stats, but considering Palmeiras' attacking strength and consistency in the second half, betting on over 2.0 goals at 1.62 seems reasonable.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Corinthians averages 5.4 corners per match, and Palmeiras 6.2. Over the last five games, Corinthians had more than 9.5 corners 3 times, and Palmeiras 4 times. Looking at the corner total odds, the line closest to the average sum (11.6) is 10.5: over 10.5 corners at 1.97, under 10.5 at 1.98. Corinthians is the favorite for the corner outcome with odds of 1.76. Both teams actively use the wings and earn many set pieces, so betting on over 10.5 corners seems justified, especially considering Palmeiras' high activity and Corinthians' consistent stats.