Prediction for match Corinthians — Vasco da Gama, 18.12.2025

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the Copa do Brasil on December 18, Corinthians will face Vasco da Gama. Corinthians are the favorites with odds of 1.88, a draw is at 3.18, and Vasco da Gama's victory is at 4.53. The probability distribution for the outcomes is as follows: Corinthians' win is estimated at 49.85%, a draw at 29.47%, and Vasco da Gama's win at 20.69%. The line on the total goals suggests interest in a high-scoring game: over 2.5 goals is at 2.35, while under 2.5 is at 1.57. Both clubs regularly find the net, which is reflected in the 'Both Teams to Score' odds: yes - 2.06, no - 1.68.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Corinthians have an average possession of 54.6%, receive 2.6 yellow cards, commit 15.8 fouls, and are caught offside 1.4 times per game. Vasco da Gama holds possession 48.6% of the time, records 1.4 yellow cards, 10.4 fouls, and 1 offside per match. In their last three games, Corinthians played as follows: December 14 - Corinthians vs Cruzeiro 6-6, December 11 - Cruzeiro vs Corinthians 0-1, December 7 - Corinthians vs Juventude 1-1. Vasco da Gama's last three matches were: December 14 - Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama 4-4, December 11 - Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense 2-1, December 7 - Atletico Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama 5-0. Their last head-to-head encounter was on August 24: Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians 2-3.

Totals Statistics

In the last five matches, both teams have shown a tendency for high-scoring games: 3 out of 5 games for Corinthians ended with over 2.5 goals, and the same for Vasco da Gama. Corinthians have an average of 2.6 goals per match, while Vasco da Gama averages 3.4. Corinthians score an average of 1.2 goals, and Vasco da Gama 1.4 per game, with Vasco da Gama conceding 2, and Corinthians 1.4. For halves, in all five matches, Corinthians' first half did not exceed 1.5 goals, while the second half was more productive - 3 out of 5 over 1.5. For Vasco da Gama, 4 out of 5 games in the second half went over 1.5, while in the first half only 2 out of 5. In terms of intervals, Corinthians most frequently score between 0-15 and 46-60 minutes (33% each), while Vasco da Gama scores from 46 to 60 minutes (31%). Corinthians most frequently concede in the second half: 46-60 and 61-75 minutes at 29% each. Vasco da Gama's conceded goals are distributed in the intervals: 16-30, 31-45, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes - 25% each. Overall, both teams tend to score after the break, which supports a bet on over 2.0 goals at 1.72. However, the main prediction is under 2.5 goals at 1.57, as neither team consistently goes over 2.5, and their average goals do not exceed 3.0. Moreover, Corinthians played under 2.5 goals twice in recent matches, and Vasco da Gama also recorded under twice.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Corinthians average 6.4 corners per game, while Vasco da Gama averages 6.2. In the last five matches, Corinthians went over 9.5 corners 4 times, and Vasco da Gama 3 times. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is at 1.71, while under 9.5 is at 2.06. For the corners outcome, Corinthians are favorites with odds of 1.50. Both teams consistently earn 6 or more corners, making the over 9.5 corners a logical choice for corner bets. Additionally, neither team shows significant drops in this metric, making the over bet on corners justified.