Prediction for match Coritiba — Athletic, 15.11.2025

Match Analysis: Coritiba vs Athletic

In Brazil's Serie B on November 15, Coritiba will face Athletic. Bookmakers have set the odds for a Coritiba win at 1.60, a draw at 3.50, and an Athletic victory at 6.50. Probability distribution suggests Coritiba has a 58.71% chance of winning, a draw has a 26.84% chance, and Athletic has a 14.45% chance. This clearly establishes Coritiba as the favorite, but a draw is also a possibility, as indicated by the relatively high probability. The betting line also includes options for totals and both teams to score, but the main interest lies in betting that at least one team will not score.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last 5 matches, Coritiba has an average possession of 47.4%, with 3.4 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 0.6 offsides per game. Athletic holds the ball 51.6% of the time, with 4 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per match. Coritiba played Paysandu 1-2, CRB 0-0, Volta Redonda 1-0, Atlético Paranaense 0-0, and Cuiabá 0-1. Athletic faced Ferroviária 2-1, Avaí 1-2, América Mineiro 0-2, Remo 1-3, and Goiás 1-1. Their head-to-head on July 23 ended 1-1, with the total under 2.5 goals. These stats indicate that both teams have not been particularly prolific in scoring.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In Coritiba's last five games, the total over 2.5 goals happened only once, while under 2.5 goals occurred four times. For Athletic, the opposite is true: over 2.5 goals occurred in 3 out of 5 matches. By halves, Coritiba saw over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times, but never in the second half. Athletic had over 1.5 goals in the first half 2 out of 5 times and in the second half 3 out of 5 times. On average, Coritiba scores 0.6 and concedes 0.4 per match, with an overall average total of 1.0. Athletic scores 1.0 and concedes 1.8, with an overall average total of 2.8. Coritiba most frequently scores in the 0-15, 31-45, and 61-75 minute intervals (33% each), while Athletic scores early (0-15 and 16-30, 25% each). In terms of goals conceded, Coritiba often concedes at the end of the first half (31-45, 67%), while Athletic concedes in the second half (46-60 and 61-75, 33% each). Given Coritiba's low scoring rate and Athletic's less-than-ideal attacking stats, betting on "Both Teams to Score: No" seems logical. Coritiba rarely scores, and in their last five matches, the total over 2.5 was only surpassed once. Although Athletic tends to play more high-scoring games, Coritiba's defense makes few mistakes, and in the second half, Coritiba hasn't had any matches with two or more goals. This supports the prediction that at least one team will not score.

Corners in the Match

On average, over their last 5 matches, Coritiba earns 2.4 corners, and Athletic 4.2. The total corners over 9.5 occurred once for Coritiba and three times for Athletic in their last five matches. The betting line offers a total corners: over 10.5 at 1.92, under 10.5 at 1.88. Coritiba is the favorite for corners with odds of 1.25. Based on statistics, betting on Athletic's individual total corners over 3.5 at 1.91 could be interesting, considering their performance in recent matches. Overall, the total corners over 10.5 seems borderline, but Athletic's individual corner stats appear more consistent.