Prediction for match Cremonese — Milan

Match Analysis: Cremonese vs Milan

On March 1st, in Serie A, Cremonese will face Milan. According to the 1X2 odds, Milan is the clear favorite: their victory is priced at 1.55, which corresponds to a 63.65% probability. A draw is offered at 4.45 (22.17%), while a win for Cremonese is at 6.96 (14.18%). Besides the outcome, the line includes options for total goals, both teams to score, and individual totals, but Milan stands out as the most likely winner according to both the odds and percentages. This reflects the difference in scoring and defensive metrics between the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In terms of ball possession over the last five matches, Milan shows 55%, while Cremonese has 41.2%. Milan averages 2.2 yellow cards, Cremonese 1.6. For fouls, Milan records 10.8, and Cremonese 13, with both teams having 2 offsides per match. In their last three matches, Cremonese faced: Roma 3-0 Cremonese on 22.02.2026, Cremonese 0-0 Genoa on 15.02.2026, and Atalanta 2-1 Cremonese on 09.02.2026. Milan's recent games include: Milan 0-1 Parma on 22.02.2026, Milan 1-1 Como on 18.02.2026, and Pisa 1-2 Milan on 13.02.2026. Their head-to-head on 23.08.2025 ended with Milan 1-2 Cremonese.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Cremonese has an average total of 1.8 goals, while Milan has 2.2. Cremonese scores an average of 0.2 goals and concedes 1.6, while Milan scores 1.4 and concedes 0.8. Both teams have over 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 5 matches and under 2.5 in 3 of 5. For the first half over 1.5, Cremonese has 2 of 5, Milan 1 of 5. In the second half over 1.5, Cremonese has 1 of 5, Milan 2 of 5. Goal timing shows Cremonese scores most often in the 0-15 (33%) and 76-90 (33%) intervals, conceding in the 16-30, 31-45, and 76-90 intervals (33% each). Milan scores 100% of their goals in the 61-75 interval and concedes most often in the 31-45 interval (33%). Considering Cremonese's low scoring and Milan's solid defense, betting on BTTS: No at 1.74 seems logical - Cremonese scores very little, and Milan consistently holds opponents back.

Corners in the Match

The average number of corners for Cremonese is 3 per game, while Milan has 2.6. For over 9.5 corners, Cremonese has 3 of 5, Milan 0 of 5. The line for total corners offers over 9.5 at 1.79 and under 9.5 at 1.96. Milan is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.36. Given the average values of both teams and Cremonese's frequency of hitting the over, considering a bet on over 9.5 corners is logical, but Milan's low figure might limit the total.