Prediction for match Cremonese — Fiorentina

Match Preview

In Serie A on March 16, Cremonese will face Fiorentina. Fiorentina is the favorite with odds of 2.01, giving them a 49.02% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.68 (26.77%), while Cremonese's chances are at 24.21% (odds of 4.07). These odds and probabilities highlight Fiorentina's advantage, which is also supported by recent statistics.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cremonese averaged 45.2% possession, 1.6 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Fiorentina, on the other hand, averaged 57% possession, 3 yellow cards, 12.8 fouls, and just 0.2 offsides. In their last three matches, Cremonese lost to Lecce 1-2 (March 8, 2026), lost to Milan 0-2 (March 1, 2026), and lost to Roma 0-3 (February 22, 2026). Fiorentina drew 0-0 with Parma (March 8, 2026), lost to Udinese 0-3 (March 2, 2026), and defeated Raków 2-1 (March 12, 2026). In their last head-to-head on January 4, 2026, Fiorentina won 1-0 against Cremonese.

How Many Goals Will Be in the Cremonese - Fiorentina Match

In the last five matches, the over 2.5 goals bet hit 3 out of 5 times for both teams. Cremonese averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per game, while Fiorentina scored 1 goal and conceded 1.6. The average total goals in Cremonese's matches was 2.2, and for Fiorentina, it was 2.6. Cremonese saw over 1.5 goals in either half twice in five matches, and Fiorentina saw it once in the first half and twice in the second half. Cremonese most frequently scored between the 16th-30th and 76th-90th minutes (29% each), conceding mostly in the final minutes (76th-90th minutes - 75%). Fiorentina's goals were evenly distributed across three periods: 0-15, 61-75, and 76-90 minutes (33% each). Given these stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.98 seems reasonable: both teams have recently tended towards this outcome, and the average goal stats support this choice.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Cremonese averages 3.8 corners per game, while Fiorentina averages 5.4, totaling 9.2. In a series of five matches, Cremonese exceeded 9.5 corners 4 times, and Fiorentina did so once. The closest total to these averages is 9.5, with over 9.5 corners priced at 1.88 and under 9.5 at 1.86. Fiorentina is favored to win the corner count with odds of 1.65. Given the averages and Cremonese's frequency, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified.