Prediction for match Cremonese — Lecce

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

Serie A continues with a clash between Cremonese and Lecce on December 7, 2025. The odds for a Cremonese win are 2.57, a draw is at 3.12, and a Lecce victory is priced at 3.27. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Cremonese - 38.32%, draw - 31.56%, Lecce - 30.12%. With such a balance, bookmakers do not highlight a clear favorite but slightly favor Cremonese. Among the totals, the under 2.5 goals option at 1.60 stands out, reflecting cautious expectations regarding goal-scoring.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cremonese has an average possession of 48.8%, receives 1.6 yellow cards, commits 12.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.4 times per game. Over the same period, Lecce has 43.6% possession, receives 1.4 yellow cards, commits 14 fouls, and is caught offside 1.2 times. In Cremonese's last three matches: December 1 - Bologna vs Cremonese 1-3, November 23 - Cremonese vs Roma 1-3, November 7 - Pisa vs Cremonese 1-0. For Lecce: November 30 - Lecce vs Torino 2-1, November 23 - Lazio vs Lecce 2-0, November 8 - Lecce vs Verona 0-0. In their last head-to-head encounter on February 4, 2023, Cremonese lost to Lecce 0-2.

Total Statistics

In terms of goal-scoring, Cremonese appears more active: over a five-match series, the team's average total goals per match is 2.8, scoring and conceding 1.4 each. Lecce's average total goals per game is 1.4, scoring 0.6 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Cremonese has 3 out of 5, while Lecce has only 1 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred only once for both teams in 5 matches. In the second half, both Cremonese and Lecce have 2 out of 5 for over 1.5 goals. In terms of goal intervals, Cremonese most often scores between 76-90 minutes (50%), while Lecce scores in the 16-30 minute interval (60%). Cremonese most frequently concedes between 61-75 minutes (30%), while Lecce concedes evenly at 25% across four intervals from the 16th to the 90th minute. Lecce has a low goal-scoring rate, and Cremonese's average total goals in matches significantly exceed that of their opponent. However, both teams rarely deliver high-scoring first halves, and even in the second halves, overs occur no more than 2 out of 5 times. All this suggests a cautious prediction for under 2.5 goals, which is priced at 1.60.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In their last 5 matches, Cremonese averages 4.2 corners, while Lecce averages 4.4. For over 9.5 corners: both teams have 2 out of 5 matches. For a total of 8.5, both outcomes are possible: over 8.5 - 1.56, under 8.5 - 2.21. Given the average sum of corners (8.6), a bet on over 8.5 seems logical. The corners market also features a win on corners: Cremonese is the favorite with odds of 1.86. However, both teams do not frequently exceed the over 9.5 total, so a moderate corner total bet seems justified. We can expect 8-9 corners per match, which corresponds to the teams' average values.