Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Atlas

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX on January 14, Cruz Azul will face Atlas. The odds favor Cruz Azul as the clear favorite: their win is priced at 1.35, a draw is at 4.75, and an Atlas victory is at 8.20. In terms of probability, Cruz Azul's win stands at 69.02%, a draw at 19.62%, and an Atlas win at 11.36%. The odds for over 2.5 goals are 1.59, while under 2.5 goals is at 2.29. Both teams to score: yes - 1.84, no - 1.86. For individual team totals, Cruz Azul over 2.5 is at 2.30, Atlas over 0.5 is at 1.59.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul had an average possession of 55.6%, received 2.2 yellow cards per game, committed 13.6 fouls, and were caught offside 1.8 times. In the same period, Atlas had 43.2% possession, received 2.4 yellow cards, committed 11.8 fouls, and were caught offside 1.6 times. In their last three games, Cruz Azul lost to Leon 1-2, lost to Flamengo 1-2, and drew with Tigres UANL 1-1. Atlas beat Puebla 1-0, lost to Tijuana 0-2, and drew with Toluca 0-0. In their head-to-head on July 20, 2025, Atlas and Cruz Azul played to a 3-3 draw.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over a series of five games, Cruz Azul's matches averaged 3 goals, with them scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6. Atlas's matches averaged 2 goals, with them scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.2. Cruz Azul had over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 games, while Atlas had only 1 of 5. In terms of halves, Cruz Azul saw over 1.5 goals in the second half 4 out of 5 times, and in the first half 2 out of 5. Atlas had over 1.5 goals in the second half 2 out of 5 times, and in the first half 1 out of 5. Cruz Azul most frequently scores between the 31st-45th and 76th-90th minutes (25% each), while Atlas scores between the 0-15th and 61st-75th minutes (33% each). Cruz Azul tends to concede late, between the 61st-75th and 76th-90th minutes (33% each). Atlas concedes between the 61st-75th minute (100%). Given Cruz Azul's average scoring, regular over 2.5 goals, and second-half activity, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.59 seems justified.

Corners: Figures and Possible Bets

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul averaged 5.4 corners, while Atlas averaged 2.8. For over 9.5 corners, Cruz Azul had 2 out of 5, while Atlas had 1 out of 5. The line closest to the combined average (8.2) is 8.5: over 8.5 corners is at 1.44, under 8.5 is at 2.43. Cruz Azul is favored in the corners market with odds of 1.14. Considering both teams' averages and frequency, a bet on over 8.5 corners seems logical.