Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Guadalajara, 01.12.2025

Match Analysis: Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara

In the Mexican Liga MX, a match between Cruz Azul and Guadalajara is scheduled for December 1, 2025. The odds for Cruz Azul to win are 2.05, a draw is at 3.34, and a victory for Guadalajara is at 3.49. Based on probabilities, Cruz Azul is rated at 45.43%, a draw at 27.88%, and Guadalajara at 26.69%. These figures suggest that Cruz Azul is the favorite, but the spread in odds and percentages leaves room for competition. The match promises to be interesting in terms of power distribution.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul played as follows: November 28 - Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul - 0-0, November 9 - Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas - 2-3, November 1 - Puebla vs Cruz Azul - 0-3. Guadalajara's last three games were: November 28 - Guadalajara vs Cruz Azul - 0-0, November 8 - Guadalajara vs Monterrey - 4-2, November 3 - Pachuca vs Guadalajara - 0-1. On average, Cruz Azul maintains 52% ball possession, commits 2.4 yellow cards, 11 fouls, and 2.6 offsides per match. Guadalajara averages 54.2% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. In their last head-to-head on November 28, the teams drew 0-0.

Goals in the Cruz Azul vs Guadalajara Match

Both teams show similar scoring stats: Cruz Azul scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 0.8, while Guadalajara scores 1.8 and concedes 0.8. In the last five games, both teams had two matches with over 2.5 goals and three with under. In the first half, Cruz Azul had over 1.5 goals once, and Guadalajara twice. In the second half, Cruz Azul had three matches with over 1.5 goals, and Guadalajara two. The average total goals in Cruz Azul's matches is 2.4, and in Guadalajara's is 2.6. Cruz Azul often scores between the 76th and 90th minutes (40%) and concedes in the same period (43%). Guadalajara tends to score in the first 30 minutes (33% in both the 0-15 and 16-30 intervals) and concedes between the 61st and 75th minutes (75%). Overall, both teams can create chances, but there is no sign of high scoring. Therefore, the average goals and frequency of totals suggest betting on under 2.5 goals, which is at 1.86.

Corner Bets

Cruz Azul averages 4 corners per match, Guadalajara 5.8. In the last five matches, Cruz Azul had two games with over 9.5 corners, Guadalajara had one. The odds for over 9.5 corners are 1.85, and under 9.5 is 1.89. Cruz Azul is the favorite in corner bets with odds of 1.69. Overall, both teams do not show high corner series, but Guadalajara tends to take corners more often. A bet on the total corners close to 9.5 seems reasonable, but there is no significant tilt to either side.