Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Guadalajara

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Liga MX, Cruz Azul will face Guadalajara on 22.02.2026. The odds for the main outcomes are as follows: a win for Cruz Azul is priced at 2.35, Guadalajara at 2.91, and a draw at 3.30. The probability percentages for a Cruz Azul win are 39.69%, for a draw - 28.26%, and for a Guadalajara win - 32.05%. Cruz Azul is the favorite according to the odds, but the gap between the teams is not critical, promising a competitive match.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Cruz Azul has an average possession of 53.4%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 14.8 fouls, and is caught offside 1.8 times per game. Guadalajara maintains 56.2% possession, gets 2.6 yellow cards, commits 11.6 fouls, and also has 1.8 offsides. In their last three matches, Cruz Azul defeated Tigres UANL 2-1 (15.02.2026), thrashed Vancouver FC 5-0 (13.02.2026), and drew with Toluca 1-1 (07.02.2026). Guadalajara beat Club America 1-0 (15.02.2026), overcame Mazatlan 2-1 (07.02.2026), and defeated Atletico San Luis 3-2 (31.01.2026). In their last head-to-head on 01.12.2025, Cruz Azul won against Guadalajara with a score of 3-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Cruz Azul has an average total goals per match of 4, scoring 3 goals per game and conceding 1. Guadalajara's average total is 2.6, with the team scoring 1.8 and conceding 0.8. For over 2.5 goals, Cruz Azul has 4 out of 5, and Guadalajara has 3 out of 5. In the first half, Cruz Azul had 3 out of 5 matches with two or more goals, and Guadalajara had 2 out of 5. In the second half, Cruz Azul also had 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, and Guadalajara had 2 out of 5. Cruz Azul most frequently scores between 31-45 minutes (36%), while Guadalajara scores in the same interval (50%). Cruz Azul most often concedes between 61-75 minutes (30%), while Guadalajara stands out in the intervals of 31-45 (29%) and 76-90 (29%). Considering Cruz Azul's high scoring rate, the frequent over 2.5 goals for both teams, and supporting average goal stats, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.88 seems justified.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Cruz Azul averages 4.4 corners per match, while Guadalajara averages 4.2. In the last five matches, neither team had a match with a total of over 9.5 corners. The odds for total corners are: over 9.5 at 1.92, under 9.5 at 1.82. Cruz Azul is favored for the corner outcome with odds of 2.00. A large number of corners is not expected, considering that in the last five matches, neither team exceeded 10 corners, and their average corners are close to 4-4.5 per game. It is optimal to consider cautious bets on the total corners around 9.5.