Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Guadalajara

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX on May 14, Cruz Azul faces Guadalajara. Cruz Azul is favored with odds of 2.04, equating to a 45.69% chance of winning. A draw is priced at 3.34 (27.91%), while Guadalajara's victory is at 3.53 (26.40%). Although Cruz Azul is the favorite, the gap with Guadalajara isn't significant, indicating a competitive match. In additional markets, both teams to score 'yes' is at 1.70, while 'no' is at 2.04. Over 2.5 goals is at 1.88, under 2.5 goals is at 1.87. For Cruz Azul to score over 1.5 goals, the odds are 2.04, and for Guadalajara over 1.5, it's 2.88. First half total goals over 1.0 is at 1.84, under 1.0 is 1.89. Second half over 1.5 goals is at 2.09, under 1.5 is 1.68.

Team Results and Statistics

Cruz Azul has recently beaten Atlas 1-0 (10.05.2026), won against Atlas 3-2 (03.05.2026), and thrashed Necaxa 4-1 (27.04.2026). Guadalajara recently defeated Tigres UANL 2-0 (10.05.2026), lost to Tigres UANL 1-3 (03.05.2026), and drew with Tijuana 0-0 (26.04.2026). In the last five matches, Cruz Azul has an average possession of 54.2%, with 1.6 yellow cards, 12.6 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per game. Guadalajara averages 60.6% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 10.2 fouls, and 2.4 offsides. In their last encounter on 22.02.2026, Cruz Azul came out on top against Guadalajara with a 2-1 victory.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul scores an average of 2 goals and concedes 1, with an overall average of 3 goals per game. Guadalajara scores 1.6 and concedes 0.6, with an average of 2.2 goals per game. Both teams have seen over 2.5 goals in 2 out of 5 matches, and the same frequency applies to over 1.5 goals in the first half: 2 out of 5 for both. In the second half, Cruz Azul exceeded 1.5 goals in 2 out of 5, Guadalajara in 3 out of 5. Cruz Azul often scores between the 76th and 90th minute (33%), while Guadalajara scores either between the 46th and 60th minute (30%) or the 76th and 90th minute (30%). Cruz Azul concedes evenly across all intervals, while Guadalajara has conceded 100% of their goals in the first 15 minutes. Overall, both teams have attacking potential: Cruz Azul consistently scores, Guadalajara also finds the net regularly, and their average goals scored and conceded are high enough to support a 'both teams to score' bet.

Corners: Numbers and Potential Bets

Cruz Azul averages 5.2 corners in their last five matches, while Guadalajara averages 7.2. Both teams hit the over 9.5 corners in 2 out of 5 matches. The closest average total is 12.4, but the odds offer a line for over 9.5 corners at 2.07 and under 9.5 at 1.67. Based on statistics, a bet on over 9.5 corners seems justified, considering the attacking style of both teams and their corner statistics. Cruz Azul is favored in the corner market with odds of 1.78. Individual corner totals for both teams can be considered, but the main interest lies in the overall total.