Prediction for match Cruz Azul — Puebla

Match Analysis: Cruz Azul vs Puebla

In Liga MX on January 18, Cruz Azul will face Puebla. The odds for Cruz Azul to win are 1.40, a draw is at 4.55, and a victory for Puebla is valued at 7.22. According to probabilities, Cruz Azul has a 66.60% chance of winning, a draw is at 20.49%, and Puebla has a 12.91% chance. Cruz Azul is favored, but both teams' recent scoring records suggest betting on goals.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul has an average possession of 55.8%, receives 1.8 yellow cards, commits 14.2 fouls, and is caught offside 1.6 times per game. In the same period, Puebla has 50.2% possession, 2.8 yellow cards, 15 fouls, and 1.4 offsides. Cruz Azul's last three matches: January 14 - Cruz Azul 2-0 Atlas, January 11 - León 2-1 Cruz Azul, December 10 - Cruz Azul 1-2 Flamengo. Puebla's last three matches: January 13 - Puebla 2-1 Mazatlán, January 10 - Atlas 1-0 Puebla, November 9 - León 1-2 Puebla. In their last head-to-head on November 1, 2025, Puebla lost to Cruz Azul 0-3.

How Many Goals to Expect?

Over five games, Cruz Azul averages 2.4 goals per match, while Puebla averages 3.6. Cruz Azul scores 1.2 and concedes 1.2 per game; Puebla scores 1.6 and concedes 2. For over 2.5 goals: Cruz Azul has 2 out of 5, Puebla has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times for Cruz Azul and 3 times for Puebla. In the second half, Cruz Azul has 3 out of 5 for over 1.5, Puebla has 2. Goal intervals show Cruz Azul often scores between 16-30 and 31-45 minutes (29% each), while Puebla scores mostly in the first 15 minutes (38%). Cruz Azul concedes most between 61-75 minutes (50%), Puebla between 31-45 and 76-90 minutes (30% each). Given Puebla's high scoring and Cruz Azul's decent goal stats, betting on over 2.5 goals makes sense.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

Cruz Azul averages 5.6 corners over five matches, Puebla 6.6. For over 9.5 corners: Cruz Azul has 1 out of 5, Puebla 4 out of 5. With a total average of 12.2 corners, the closest line is 11.5: over 11.5 corners is 2.82, under 11.5 is 1.38. Cruz Azul is favored to win on corners at 1.28. Both teams tend to have a high number of corners, especially Puebla, so betting on over 9.5 or 10.5 corners seems justified.