Prediction for match Cruz Azul — UNAM Pumas, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Cruz Azul vs UNAM Pumas

In the upcoming Liga MX match on November 9, 2025, between Cruz Azul and UNAM Pumas, the odds are as follows: Cruz Azul win at 1.70, draw at 4.00, and UNAM Pumas win at 4.75. In terms of probability, Cruz Azul is given a 56.09% chance, a draw 23.84%, and UNAM Pumas 20.07%. The clear bias in favor of Cruz Azul is also confirmed by the distribution of chances, although a draw is not ruled out according to probability assessment. UNAM Pumas approaches the game as the underdog, but they should not be underestimated - the team can surprise over the long course of the championship.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cruz Azul averages 58.6% possession, commits 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2.8 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas shows 50.8% possession, 1.4 yellow cards, 11.8 fouls, and 1.6 offsides. Cruz Azul's last three matches: 01.11.2025 Puebla - Cruz Azul 0-3, 26.10.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 2-0, 22.10.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 1-1. UNAM Pumas: 02.11.2025 UNAM Pumas - Tijuana 4-1, 26.10.2025 León - UNAM Pumas 1-1, 23.10.2025 UNAM Pumas - Atlético San Luis 0-1. The last head-to-head encounter on 06.04.2025 between Cruz Azul and UNAM Pumas ended 3-2, with the total over 2.5 goals. Previous head-to-head matches also featured high scores, adding intrigue to the upcoming clash.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, Cruz Azul recorded 2 out of 5 matches over 2.5 goals, the same as UNAM Pumas - 2 out of 5 over 2.5. In the first half, Cruz Azul has 1 out of 5 over 1.5, but in the second half already 3 out of 5 over 1.5. For UNAM Pumas: 2 out of 5 over 1.5 in the first half and 3 out of 5 in the second. Average stats over 5 matches: Cruz Azul - 2.4 goals per game, 1.8 scored, 0.6 conceded; UNAM Pumas - 2.6 goals per game, 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded. Cruz Azul most frequently scores between 31-45 (33%) and 76-90 (33%), while UNAM Pumas scores in 31-45 (38%). Conceded goals: Cruz Azul more often in 31-45 (33%) and 76-90 (33%), UNAM Pumas in 76-90 (43%). These data indicate both teams' tendency for active play in the second half, especially in the last 15 minutes. Although the average totals are slightly above 2.4-2.6, the over 2.5 occurs only in 2 out of 5 cases for both teams. However, considering that both clubs regularly score and concede, and given the high-scoring head-to-head matches, a bet on over 2.5 at 1.73 seems justified.

Corner Totals Analysis

Over the last 5 matches, Cruz Azul averages 3.4 corners, while UNAM Pumas averages 4.6. For over 9.5 corner totals: Cruz Azul - 1 out of 5, UNAM Pumas - 2 out of 5. Odds for corner totals: over 9.5 is at 1.98, under 9.5 at 1.82. Cruz Azul is the favorite to win on corners with odds of 1.33. Individual stats: Cruz Azul - over 5.5 corners at 1.73, under at 2.00; UNAM Pumas - under 3.5 at 1.67, over 3.5 at 2.10. Statistically, both teams rarely exceed high corner totals, so it's more logical to consider under 9.5. Despite this, the average remains in favor of UNAM Pumas, but Cruz Azul often leads in individual corners.