Prediction for match Cruz Azul — UNAM Pumas

Odds and Match Outcome Probabilities

In Liga MX, Cruz Azul will face UNAM Pumas on 22.05.2026. The 1X2 odds are as follows: Cruz Azul win at 1.72, draw at 3.86, and UNAM Pumas win at 4.28. In percentage terms: Cruz Azul is given a 54.13% chance, draw 24.12%, and UNAM Pumas 21.75%. Cruz Azul is considered the favorite, as confirmed by both the probabilities and the odds. The most likely outcome according to the odds is a Cruz Azul victory, but the gap between a draw and a UNAM Pumas win is not very large. This suggests that bookmakers expect a competitive match, albeit with an advantage for Cruz Azul.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Cruz Azul played as follows: 17.05.2026 - Guadalajara vs. Cruz Azul - 1-2, 14.05.2026 - Cruz Azul vs. Guadalajara - 2-2, 10.05.2026 - Cruz Azul vs. Atlas - 1-0. UNAM Pumas in their last three matches recorded these results: 18.05.2026 - UNAM Pumas vs. Pachuca - 1-0, 15.05.2026 - Pachuca vs. UNAM Pumas - 1-0, 11.05.2026 - UNAM Pumas vs. Club América - 3-3. In their head-to-head on 15.03.2026, UNAM Pumas and Cruz Azul drew 2-2. Over a five-match span, Cruz Azul averaged 44.6% possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 12.2 fouls, and 2 offsides per game. UNAM Pumas held the ball 49.4% of the time, recorded 2.2 yellows, 12.2 fouls, and 1.2 offsides. This indicates a fairly equal level of discipline and defensive activity, but Cruz Azul is caught offside slightly more often.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In terms of scoring, Cruz Azul has shown a strong over-profile: in their last five matches, the total over 2.5 goals occurred 4 times, under only once. UNAM Pumas is less consistent in terms of goals: 2 out of 5 over 2.5, 3 under. The average scoring rate for Cruz Azul is 3.6 goals per game, for UNAM Pumas - 3.2. Cruz Azul scores 2.4 goals per match and concedes 1.2, while UNAM Pumas scores 1.8 and concedes 1.4. By halves, Cruz Azul had 2 occurrences over 1.5 in the first half and 3 in the second, while UNAM Pumas had 3 over 1.5 in the first and 2 in the second. In terms of intervals, Cruz Azul most frequently scores from the 76th to 90th minute (30%) and concedes from the 46th to 75th (25% in each of the two intervals). UNAM Pumas most often scores in the first 15 minutes (38%) and concedes from the 31st to 45th (33%). All this points to a high likelihood of a high-scoring match and the over 2.5 total, which is priced at 1.70. It's also worth noting that both teams are capable of scoring in both halves, as evidenced by their streaks.

Analysis of Corner Totals

For corners, Cruz Azul averages 5.4 per match, UNAM Pumas - 2.4. Over a five-match span, both teams had 3 occurrences over 9.5 total corners. Considering the corner total, the most closely aligned with the sum of average figures (7.8) is the 7.5 total. However, the line offers odds on a 9.5 total: more than 9.5 was recorded 3 times out of 5 for both teams. This suggests that a bet on over 9.5 corners might be interesting for statistics enthusiasts. In secondary statistics, Cruz Azul delivers almost twice as many corners as UNAM Pumas, which could affect the distribution of set pieces in the match. Overall, Cruz Azul is expected to have an advantage in corners, and the 9.5 total looks promising for betting on statistics.