Prediction for match Cruzeiro — Botafogo, 04.12.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A, Cruzeiro faces Botafogo on December 4, 2025. The odds for a Cruzeiro win are 2.11, a draw is 3.25, and a Botafogo victory is 3.84. The outcome probabilities are distributed as follows: Cruzeiro - 45.48%, draw - 29.53%, Botafogo - 24.99%. These figures suggest that Cruzeiro is slightly favored, but the gap is not significant, adding intrigue to the match. Additional markets on outcomes and totals indicate that bookmakers expect a high-scoring game, as the odds for over 2.5 goals are 2.09, and both teams to score is 1.81. This reflects the attacking potential of both teams in recent matches.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last five matches, Cruzeiro has an average possession of 53.2%, records 3.4 yellow cards, 15.6 fouls, and 1.6 offsides per game. Botafogo maintains possession at 51%, receives 2 yellow cards, commits 15.2 fouls, and 1.8 offsides per match. In their last three encounters, Cruzeiro played as follows: November 30 - Ceara vs. Cruzeiro - 1-1, November 23 - Cruzeiro vs. Corinthians - 3-0, November 20 - Juventude vs. Cruzeiro - 3-3. Botafogo's last three matches: November 30 - Corinthians vs. Botafogo - 2-2, November 22 - Botafogo vs. Gremio - 3-2, November 18 - Botafogo vs. Sport Recife - 3-2. In their last head-to-head on August 3, 2025, Botafogo vs. Cruzeiro ended 0-2.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In a five-match series, Cruzeiro averages 2.4 total goals per game, while Botafogo averages 3.4, indicating high scoring in Botafogo's matches. Cruzeiro scores 1.6 goals and concedes 0.8, while Botafogo scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. For over 2.5 goals frequency: Cruzeiro had it 2 times out of 5, Botafogo 4 out of 5. By halves, Cruzeiro had over 1.5 goals in the first half 1 time out of 5, in the second half 3 out of 5. Botafogo had it in the first half 2 out of 5, in the second half 4 out of 5. Cruzeiro most frequently scores between the 46th-60th minute (43%), while Botafogo scores between the 76th-90th minute (36%). Cruzeiro concedes most often between the 31st-45th minute (40%), Botafogo between the 46th-60th minute (33%). These stats confirm a trend for second-half goals and a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals, especially considering Botafogo's attacking stats and Cruzeiro's consistent scoring.

Corners in the Match

Cruzeiro averages 7.4 corners per game, Botafogo 6.6. In a five-match series, both teams had over 9.5 total corners 4 times out of 5. For the corners total market, the line is set at 9.5: over 9.5 corners - 1.70, under 9.5 - 2.08. Cruzeiro is favored in corners with odds of 1.51. Given the high average corner stats and the frequency of over 9.5 totals, a bet on over 9.5 corners in this match is logical. Also, note the individual stats: Cruzeiro consistently delivers at least 7 corners, and Botafogo almost always exceeds 6. This strengthens the argument for high corner activity. Overall, the match promises to be rich in set pieces, further increasing the likelihood of a bet on over 9.5 corners hitting.