Prediction for match Cruzeiro — Corinthians, 24.11.2025

Odds and Probability Percentages for the Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on November 23, Cruzeiro will face Corinthians. The odds for a Cruzeiro win are 1.84, a draw is at 3.48, and a Corinthians victory is at 4.73. The probability percentages are distributed as follows: Cruzeiro win 52.14%, draw 27.57%, Corinthians win 20.28%. Cruzeiro is considered the favorite, but the chance for a draw is also quite significant.

Team Results and Statistics

Over the last five matches, Cruzeiro has averaged 50% possession, committed 15.4 fouls, been caught offside 1.2 times, and received 4 yellow cards per match. Corinthians holds the ball more often - 55.8% possession, with 13.2 fouls, 0.8 offsides, and 3.2 yellow cards. In their last three matches, Cruzeiro played: 20.11 Juventude - Cruzeiro 3-3, 09.11 Cruzeiro - Fluminense 0-0, 05.11 Gremio - Cruzeiro 0-1. Corinthians' recent games were: 20.11 Corinthians - Sao Paulo 3-1, 09.11 Corinthians - Ceara 0-1, 05.11 RB Bragantino - Corinthians 2-1. From their last head-to-head on 23.07: Corinthians - Cruzeiro 0-0, under 2.5 goals was successful.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five games, both teams have had 2 matches over 2.5 goals and 3 under. In the first half, Cruzeiro had 2 out of 5 matches over 1.5 goals, while Corinthians had none. In the second half, Cruzeiro went over 1.5 goals just once, Corinthians did it 2 times out of 5. Average stats: both teams score 1.4 and concede 0.8, with an average of 2.2 goals per match. For intervals, Cruzeiro scores most often in the first 30 minutes (33% of goals in each of the two segments), while Corinthians scores towards the end (76-90 minutes, 57%). In terms of goals conceded: Cruzeiro is vulnerable from the 31st to the 45th minute (60% of goals), Corinthians spreads it more evenly but the main risk is in the second half. This structure and the low scoring in recent matches suggest a logical choice - both teams to score: no.

Analysis of Corner Totals

In the last 5 matches, Cruzeiro averages 6.6 corners, Corinthians - 5. The frequency of over 9.5 corners is 3 out of 5 for both teams. The odds for over 9 corners are 1.50, under 11 is 1.52. In corner outcomes, Cruzeiro is the favorite with odds of 1.43. In such a situation, betting on over 9 corners seems justified, considering the relatively high averages for both sides and the frequency of this total being surpassed.