Prediction for match Cruzeiro — Fluminense, 09.11.2025

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Fluminense

In the upcoming round of Brazil's Serie A on November 9, Cruzeiro will face Fluminense. The odds show a noticeable advantage for Cruzeiro: a win for Cruzeiro is priced at 1.91, a draw at 3.10, and a win for Fluminense at 4.20. According to the percentage distribution, Cruzeiro has a 48.29% chance of winning, the probability of a draw is 29.75%, and Fluminense's chances of winning are limited to 21.96%. This setup reflects a cautious approach by analysts, indicating a moderate number of expected goals, which is also confirmed by secondary odds on the total.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Cruzeiro has an average possession of 46%, commits 13 fouls, receives 3.6 yellow cards, and records 0.6 offsides per game. Over the same period, Fluminense has 54% possession, makes 17.6 fouls, receives 2 yellow cards, and has 1 offside on average. In Cruzeiro's last three matches: 05.11.2025 Gremio - Cruzeiro 0-1, 01.11.2025 Cruzeiro - Vitoria 3-1, 26.10.2025 Palmeiras - Cruzeiro 0-0. Fluminense played as follows: 06.11.2025 Fluminense - Mirassol 1-0, 02.11.2025 Ceara - Fluminense 2-0, 29.10.2025 Fluminense - Ceara 1-0. Their last head-to-head on 17.07.2025 ended with Fluminense 0-2 Cruzeiro, which corresponds to an under 2.5 total.

How Many Goals to Expect?

The total over 2.5 goals was recorded only once in 5 matches for Cruzeiro and never for Fluminense, highlighting the low scoring nature of both teams. Cruzeiro has only 1 occurrence of over 1.5 total in the first half out of 5, similarly in the second halves. Fluminense has 0 occurrences in both halves for over 1.5. Average figures over five matches: Cruzeiro - 1.6 goals per game, scoring 1.2, conceding 0.4; Fluminense - 1.4 goals on average, scoring 0.6, conceding 0.8. In terms of goal timing, Cruzeiro most frequently scores between the 16th and 30th minutes (40%), while Fluminense scores most often between the 31st and 45th minutes (43%). Cruzeiro concedes most frequently between the 31st and 45th minutes (67%), while Fluminense does not have a clearly weak interval. All these data lead to a logical choice of betting on under 2.5 total goals, as both teams display a cautious game with a limited number of goal-scoring opportunities.

Corner Betting

On corners, Cruzeiro averages 4.6, while Fluminense averages 5.6 per game. In the last five matches, Cruzeiro exceeded the total over 9.5 corners twice, Fluminense once. The odds for over 10 corners are 1.88, and for under 10 are 1.92. In the corner outcome, Cruzeiro is the favorite with odds of 1.40. Considering the average values and frequencies, a bet on under 10 corners seems justified as both teams rarely exceed this threshold.