Prediction for match Cruzeiro — Santos

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In Brazil's Serie A on March 22, Cruzeiro will face Santos. The odds for the outcomes are as follows: Cruzeiro's victory is priced at 1.91, a draw is offered at 3.54, and Santos's win is valued at 4.22. The probabilities for 1X2 are: Cruzeiro - 50.20%, draw - 27.08%, Santos - 22.72%. Cruzeiro is considered the favorite, but the gap in chances isn't too large, and the recent match statistics of both teams suggest the possibility of a high-scoring game. The odds also highlight high values for over totals, which is related to the frequent occurrence of high-scoring outcomes in recent matches of both teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In the last three matches, Cruzeiro lost to Atletico Paranaense 1-2, drew with Vasco da Gama 3-3, and lost to Flamengo 0-2. Santos, in their last three matches, lost to Internacional 1-2, drew with Corinthians 1-1, and drew with Mirassol 2-2. Average figures over five matches: Cruzeiro has 51.8% ball possession, 2.2 yellow cards, 13.4 fouls, and 0.8 offsides per game. Santos has 52% possession, 2.6 yellows, 11.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In the last head-to-head on December 7, 2025, Santos confidently defeated Cruzeiro 3-0. In the five-match series between these teams, there have been both significant victories by one side and more competitive matches.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five matches, Cruzeiro has an average of 3.4 goals per game, and Santos has 3. Both teams score 1.4 goals per game, with Cruzeiro conceding 2 and Santos 1.6. For over 2.5 goals, Cruzeiro has 3 out of 5, and Santos has 4 out of 5. In the first half, over 1.5 goals occurred 2 times out of 5 for both teams, in the second half, Cruzeiro has 2 out of 5, and Santos has 3 out of 5. For goal intervals: Cruzeiro most often scores in the first 15 minutes (50%), and Santos from the 16th to the 30th minute (38%). Cruzeiro most often concedes between the 46th-60th and 76th-90th minutes (43% each), while Santos's most dangerous period is the last 15 minutes (43%). This profile indicates a high likelihood of a high-scoring match where both teams are likely to score, and the total number of goals may exceed 2.5. The odds for over 2.5 goals are at 2.02, which seems justified given the current goal statistics and the frequent occurrence of high-scoring outcomes in recent games of both teams.

Corners: Numbers and Possible Bets

For the average number of corners per match, both teams are identical: 4.6 per game in the five-match series. For over 9.5 corners, Cruzeiro has 2 out of 5, and Santos has 4 out of 5. Looking at the odds, over 9.5 corners is priced at 1.55, and under 9.5 at 2.28. In the line for corner outcomes, Cruzeiro is the favorite with odds of 1.40. This corner profile suggests that the match could be rich in set pieces, and a bet on over 9.5 corners seems logical given the average activity of both teams and the frequent occurrences for Santos. It's also worth noting that Cruzeiro consistently delivers no less than 4-5 corners per game, and Santos can maintain a high pace in this regard.