Prediction for match Crystal Palace — Brighton, 09.11.2025

Odds and Outcome Probabilities

On November 9th, Crystal Palace will face Brighton in the English Premier League. The odds for a Crystal Palace win are 2.25, a Brighton victory is at 3.10, and a draw is priced at 3.50. The probability distribution is as follows: 42.22% for Crystal Palace, 27.14% for a draw, and 30.64% for Brighton. While there is no clear favorite, Crystal Palace slightly edges ahead in both odds and probability. The match promises to be intriguing with a balanced contest expected, as the gap in chances between the teams is not significant.

Team Results and Statistics

Crystal Palace has an average possession of 43.8% over their last five matches, while Brighton is more active with 52.2%. In terms of cards over the same period: Crystal Palace averages 1.2, Brighton 1.6. For fouls: Crystal Palace 12.6, Brighton 11. Offsides: 1.8 for Palace against 2.8 for Brighton. Crystal Palace's last three matches: November 6 - Crystal Palace 3-1 AZ Alkmaar, November 1 - Crystal Palace 2-0 Brentford, October 29 - Liverpool 0-3 Crystal Palace. Brighton's recent games: November 1 - Brighton 3-0 Leeds, October 29 - Arsenal 2-0 Brighton, October 25 - Manchester United 4-2 Brighton. In their last head-to-head on April 5, Crystal Palace defeated Brighton 2-1, with the total going over 2.5 goals.

Goals Statistics

In their last five matches, Crystal Palace has averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, with a total average of 2.2. Brighton's averages are 1.6 scored, 1.6 conceded, with a total of 3.2. Crystal Palace went over 2.5 goals twice and under three times in these games, while Brighton did the opposite, going over three times. In the first half, Crystal Palace went over 1.5 goals twice, Brighton only once. In the second half, Crystal Palace went over 1.5 goals once, Brighton four times out of five. Scoring intervals for Palace are mostly between the 16th and 30th minute (43%), while they concede between the 31st and 60th minutes (40% in each interval). Brighton scores most often between the 61st and 90th minute (25%) and concedes mainly in the final stages: 76th-90th minute (75%). These data suggest a high likelihood of both teams scoring. BTTS: Yes is at 1.62 - this is the optimal bet for this match.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Crystal Palace averages 4.2 corners per game, while Brighton averages 5.6. In the last five matches, Crystal Palace exceeded the 9.5 corners mark twice, while Brighton did so four times. The line for total corners is set at over 9.5 at 1.85, under 9.5 at 1.95. The outcome for corners: both Crystal Palace and Brighton are at 2.00, with a draw at 8.00. Considering Brighton's attacking style and the decent number of corners both teams earn, betting on over 9.5 corners seems justified.