Prediction for match Crystal Palace — Burnley

Odds and Probability Percentages for Match Outcome

The Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Burnley will take place on February 11, 2026. According to the 1X2 odds, Crystal Palace is the favorite with odds of 1.62, a draw is offered at 4.27, and a Burnley win is at 6.15. The probabilities are distributed as follows: 60.87% for a Crystal Palace victory, 23.09% for a draw, and 16.03% for a Burnley win. The odds for over 2.5 goals are set at 1.97, and the same for under 2.5 goals, indicating balanced expectations in terms of scoring. For both teams to score, the odds are 1.92 for 'yes' and 1.80 for 'no', reflecting a moderate balance between attacking potential and possible caution from the teams.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last five matches, Crystal Palace has earned 4 points: a victory over Brighton 1-0, a draw with Nottingham Forest 1-1, and losses to Chelsea 1-3, Sunderland 1-2, and Macclesfield Town 1-2. In the same period, Burnley has secured one win, two draws, and two losses: a win against Millwall 5-1, draws with Liverpool 1-1 and Tottenham 2-2, and losses to Sunderland 0-3 and West Ham 0-2. In their last head-to-head meeting on December 3, 2025, Crystal Palace defeated Burnley away with a score of 1-0. In additional metrics, Crystal Palace averages 51.8% possession over a five-match span, commits 11.8 fouls, receives 3 yellow cards, and registers 2.8 offsides per game. Burnley holds 48% possession, commits 9.2 fouls, receives 2.6 yellow cards, and has 1.6 offsides per match.

How Many Goals to Expect?

In the last five encounters, both teams have surpassed the 2.5 goals total three times and gone under twice. Crystal Palace averages 1 goal scored and 1.6 conceded, while Burnley scores 1.6 and concedes 1.8 per game, forming average totals of 2.6 and 3.4 respectively. In the first half, Burnley is consistently productive: five out of five matches with totals over 1.5 goals, while Crystal Palace has this in two out of five. In the second half, both teams have surpassed the 1.5 goals total twice in five games. For goal intervals, Crystal Palace most frequently scores and concedes between the 31-45 and 61-75 minutes (33% and 29%), while Burnley's highest percentage of goals scored is also in the 31-45 minute range (50%), with most goals conceded in the 76-90 minutes (33%). Considering both teams have regularly played over the 2.5 goals total in recent matches, and their average goal figures are high, a bet on over 2.5 goals at 1.97 seems logical.

Analysis of Corner Totals

Crystal Palace averages 4.4 corners per game, Burnley 2.6, totaling 7. In terms of exceeding the 9.5 corners total, both teams have only done so once in five matches. Among available corner totals, the line closest to the average figures is 7.5, with odds of 1.24 for over and 3.34 for under. The 8.5 total can also be considered: 1.47 for over and 2.42 for under. Crystal Palace is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.35. Given the average corner activity from both teams, a bet on over 7.5 corners appears balanced, but the frequency of high totals is low.