Prediction for match Crystal Palace — Newcastle

Odds and Probability of Match Outcome

In the English Premier League on April 12, Crystal Palace will face Newcastle. Bookmakers offer odds of 2.32 for a Newcastle win, 3.23 for Crystal Palace, and 3.64 for a draw. The probabilities are distributed as follows: Crystal Palace - 30.49%, draw - 27.06%, Newcastle - 42.45%. Despite Newcastle being favored, the lines on total goals are also quite appealing. Over 2.25 goals is priced at 1.51, over 2.5 goals at 1.79, and both teams to score: yes is at 1.57. There are also options for individual totals and by halves, but the main focus is on the overall total line.

Team Results and Statistics

In their last three matches, Crystal Palace defeated Fiorentina 3-0 on April 9, beat AEK Larnaca 2-1 on March 19, and ended in a goalless draw with Leeds on March 15. Newcastle in their last three encounters won against Sunderland 2-1 (March 22), lost to Barcelona 2-7 (March 18), and defeated Chelsea 1-0 (March 14). In a five-match series, Crystal Palace averaged 63.8% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 14.8 fouls, and 2.2 offsides per game. Newcastle's figures: 42.6% possession, 1.8 yellow cards, 11.4 fouls, and 2.2 offsides. In their last head-to-head on January 4, Newcastle defeated Crystal Palace 2-0.

Goals by Match Statistics

In the last five matches, Crystal Palace went over 2.5 goals three times and stayed under twice. Newcastle also went over 2.5 goals three times and under twice. The average goals in Crystal Palace's matches is 2.0, while Newcastle's is 3.8. Goals scored: Crystal Palace - 1.6, Newcastle - 1.2. Goals conceded: Crystal Palace - 0.4, Newcastle - 2.6. By halves, Crystal Palace went over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and not once in the second. Newcastle went over 1.5 goals twice in the first half and four times in the second. Crystal Palace most frequently scores and concedes between 31-45 minutes (40% and 80% respectively). Newcastle's goals are distributed across four intervals at 20% each: 0-15, 16-30, 46-60, 61-75. Goals conceded mostly occur in the intervals 16-30, 46-60, and 76-90 (22% each). Considering Newcastle's high scoring in recent matches, the regular occurrence of over 2.5 goals for both teams, and active second halves for Newcastle, a bet on over 2.25 goals at 1.51 seems justified.

Corner Bets

Crystal Palace averages 5.8 corners per game, Newcastle 4.8. In the last five matches, Crystal Palace went over 9.5 corners twice, Newcastle three times. For corners: over 9.5 is priced at 1.58, under 9.5 at 2.22. Crystal Palace is the favorite in corner outcomes with odds of 1.95. Considering both teams' stats, a bet on over 9.5 corners appears logical, especially given the average total corners per match. Individual corner totals for both teams can also be considered, as both regularly deliver at least 4-5 corners per game.